Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B: Match Preview, Predictions and Betting Tips
Published on Saturday, 07 November 2026 by Steve
Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B
LaLiga2 (LALIGA HYPERMOTION) Prediction & Betting Tips
Match Overview
Matchday 13 of the 2026/27 LaLiga Hypermotion season brings newly promoted CE Sabadell back to their famous Nova Creu Alta home on Monday night, as the Arlequinats host Real Sociedad B in a fixture that pits two of the division's most interesting projects against each other. Sabadell, back in the second tier after a dramatic promotion via the Primera Federación play-offs in June 2026, have adapted to life in Segunda far better than most expected. Ferran Costa's side sit 10th in the table with 17 points from 12 matches (4 wins, 5 draws, 3 defeats), and crucially they are unbeaten at home in the league this season — a record they will be desperate to protect under the lights in front of their own supporters. If you are building a weekend acca, this fixture features prominently on our prediction football today and prediction football tomorrow pages for a reason.
Real Sociedad B, known affectionately as Sanse, arrive in Catalonia in far more troubled waters. Jon Ansotegi's young side have collected just 11 points from their opening 12 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 7 defeats) and sit 18th in the standings, inside the relegation zone on goal difference and leaking goals at an alarming rate — 22 conceded already, including a 4-1 hammering at Celta Fortuna and a 4-2 home defeat to Almería in recent weeks. Their 1-0 home win over Girona last time out offered a glimmer of hope, but their away form remains the worst defensive record on the road in the division, conceding two goals per game outside San Sebastián. Our full-time verdict, like all of our fulltime prediction picks, weighs that home-versus-away split very heavily.
The historical edge between these two sides is surprisingly held by Sanse, who have won two of the four competitive meetings since 2022, but the context has changed dramatically. Sabadell are now a second-tier side with a settled, experienced spine, a sold-out stadium behind them and one of the most productive front lines among the newly promoted teams. Sanse, by contrast, are a development side living game to game. Everything about this fixture — the venue, the momentum, the defensive numbers — points toward a home win, but Sanse's talent means a clean sheet is far from guaranteed. For more angles on games like this one, our double chance prediction and over under prediction guides break the markets down in detail.
Tactical Preview
Formation & Key Matchups
Sabadell 4-4-2
Ferran Costa has kept faith with the compact 4-4-2 that carried Sabadell through two successive promotions. The shape is disciplined and vertical: Diego Fuoli behind a back line featuring the on-loan Edgar González as the organising centre-back, a hard-working midfield in which captain Urri, Joel Priego and Quadri Liameed rotate the interior duties, and two genuine outlets up front. The wide midfielders tuck in quickly to form a midfield box without the ball, and Sabadell's average of under one goal conceded per match — 11 in 12 — is among the best defensive records in the bottom half of the table. At home they have been even stingier, which is the foundation of their unbeaten Nova Creu Alta run.
Real Sociedad B 4-3-3
Jon Ansotegi, assisted by club legend Imanol Agirretxe, lines Sanse up in a possession-oriented 4-3-3 faithful to the Real Sociedad doctrine. The problem is not the philosophy but the execution: a very young back line, anchored by ever-present Japanese centre-back Kazunari Kita, has been exposed repeatedly by direct balls in behind and by set pieces. The full-backs push high, which leaves the two holding midfielders — usually Dani Díaz and Lander Astiazaran — covering enormous spaces. Sanse create plenty (15 goals is respectable for a bottom-four side), but their pressing structure collapses when the first line is bypassed, which is exactly how Sabadell's direct 4-4-2 is built to play.
Critical Vulnerability
Sanse's away defensive record is the single biggest vulnerability in this match: two goals conceded per game on the road, with heavy defeats at Celta Fortuna (4-1) and Las Palmas (1-0) exposing how quickly their structure unravels under sustained physical pressure. Sabadell, meanwhile, have shown a soft spot of their own — they have kept only one clean sheet in their last six league games and have drawn five of twelve matches, suggesting they can be pinned back when their own counter-attack is neutralised. Expect Costa's side to target the channels behind Sanse's advanced full-backs from the opening minutes, particularly through the pace of Ángel Baena and the movement of Nicholas Gioacchini.
Team News & Squad Status
Sabadell 📈
- Diego Fuoli has played every minute of the league campaign in goal and remains undisputed first choice.
- Nicholas Gioacchini is joint-top scorer with 3 goals despite making only five appearances — a devastating minutes-per-goal ratio that pushes him toward a start.
- Ángel Baena (3 goals, 6 starts) is the creative hub in the front two.
- Edgar González, on loan from Almería, anchors the defence but is walking a disciplinary tightrope with six yellow cards and a red card already this season.
- Pipa has returned to fitness and is building minutes at right-back after an injury-disrupted start.
- Yanis Rahmani and Nikolay Obolskiy provide experienced options off the bench, with Patrick Nuamah (on loan from Sassuolo) adding midfield energy.
- No fresh long-term absentees reported in the build-up to Monday's game.
Real Sociedad B ⚠️
- Theo Folgado has established himself as the first-choice goalkeeper for Ansotegi's young side.
- Lander Astiazaran and Gorka Gorosabel share top-scorer honours with 3 goals each from midfield.
- Japanese centre-back Kazunari Kita has started 11 of 12 league games and is the one constant in a reshuffled defence.
- Jon Balda (2 goals), Gorka Carrera (2) and Arkaitz Mariezkurrena (2) lead a young, mobile front line.
- Lander Beitia is the notable absentee, missing out through injury.
- Ekain Orobengoa is being eased back after injury, appearing as a substitute in recent weeks.
- Sanse have lost four of their last five away league matches, conceding at least twice in each defeat.
Predicted Lineups
| Sabadell 4-4-2 | Real Sociedad B 4-3-3 |
|---|---|
| Diego Fuoli (GK) | Theo Folgado (GK) |
| Pipa (RB) | Jon Garro (RB) |
| Miki Codina (CB) | Kazunari Kita (CB) |
| Edgar González (CB) | Iker Calderón (CB) |
| José Luis Català (LB) | Unax Agote (LB) |
| Ton Ripoll (RM) | Dani Díaz (CM) |
| Quadri Liameed (CM) | Lander Astiazaran (CM) |
| Joel Priego (CM) | Gorka Gorosabel (CM) |
| Óscar Sanz (LM) | Arkaitz Mariezkurrena (RW) |
| Ángel Baena (ST) | Gorka Carrera (ST) |
| Nicholas Gioacchini (ST) | Jon Balda (LW) |
Head-to-Head Record
These sides know each other well from their shared years in the Primera Federación, and the recent head-to-head makes interesting reading for a fixture in which Sabadell start as clear favourites. Sanse have actually won two of the last four meetings, including both of the clashes staged at Nova Creu Alta: a 2-1 win in November 2022 and another 2-1 victory in November 2023, the latter a particularly painful home defeat for the Arlequinats. The Basques also took a point from the April 2023 meeting at Zubieta (1-1), while Sabadell's only victory in the sequence came in February 2024, when a disciplined away performance produced a 1-0 win at Sanse's training ground complex. In total, Sanse lead 2 wins to 1 with 1 draw, and the goals are split 5-4 in the Basques' favour.
However, head-to-head history needs heavy contextual weighting here. All four previous meetings came in the third tier, where Sabadell were operating under financial restrictions and managerial churn that belong to a different era of the club. Under Adam Rothstein's ownership, president Pau Morilla-Giner and sporting director Lucas Viale, Sabadell have won back-to-back promotions and transformed into a settled second-tier outfit. Three of the four previous meetings also produced goals at both ends, and both Sanse wins at Nova Creu Alta finished 2-1 — a scoreline template that will worry home supporters, even if the current form gap is significant. For bettors who like the both-teams-to-score angle, our GG/NG (BTTS) page tracks how often this market lands across Europe's second tiers.
Key Players Comparison
The individual battle that could decide this match is Sabadell's in-form strike duo against Sanse's youngest-ever defensive unit. Ángel Baena has been the Arlequinats' most consistent attacking threat with three goals and the team's highest attacking output from open play, drifting between the lines of Sanse's 4-3-3 in exactly the zones where the Basques' holding midfielders have struggled all season. Alongside him, American forward Nicholas Gioacchini has been the revelation of Sabadell's autumn — three goals from only five appearances and barely 300 minutes of football. His minutes-per-goal ratio is among the best in the division and makes him the most dangerous impact player on either roster, as well as an intriguing anytime-goalscorer proposition for those who follow our bet of the day selections.
For Sanse, the creative burden falls on captain-in-spirit Lander Astiazaran, whose three goals from midfield have kept his side in matches they had no right to contest, and on Gorka Gorosabel, another midfielder with three goals who arrives late in the box and will test Sabadell's screening midfielders. Behind them, 20-year-old goalkeeper Theo Folgado faces the busiest workload of any stopper in the division's bottom four. If Folgado has a big night, Sanse can nick a point; if Baena and Gioacchini find their range early, the visitors' fragile away structure could fold as it did at Vigo and Las Palmas. Supporters of low-risk singles on fixtures like this often pair our analysis with the banker of the day and single bet pages.
The Managers
Ferran Costa (Sabadell)
Ferran Costa is quietly building one of the great modern Sabadell stories. Appointed on 23 June 2025 on a two-year contract after David Movilla's departure, the Catalan coach delivered promotion from the fourth tier in his debut campaign and then — remarkably — repeated the feat in 2025/26, finishing second in Primera Federación before navigating the play-offs in dramatic fashion. His Sabadell side overturned a 2-0 first-leg deficit against Real Madrid Castilla with a famous 3-0 win at a sold-out Nova Creu Alta, then sealed promotion to LaLiga Hypermotion with a 4-0 play-off final victory over Zamora, goals from Javi López-Pinto, Eneko Aguilar, Quadri Liameed and Xavi Moreno sending the club into raptures.
Now competing a full division above where many expected, Costa has shown tactical pragmatism: his side concede less than a goal per game, grind out draws when not at their best, and remain unbeaten at home. The project built by owner Adam Rothstein and sporting director Lucas Viale has a clear identity, and Monday night is another test of whether that identity holds against a possession-heavy opponent.
Jon Ansotegi (Real Sociedad B)
Jon Ansotegi took charge of Sanse for the 2026/27 season with former Real Sociedad striker Imanol Agirretxe as his assistant, inheriting one of the most prestigious development jobs in Spanish football. A former Real Sociedad defender, Ansotegi knows exactly what the club demands: brave, positional, possession-based football designed to graduate players to the first team rather than to accumulate points at all costs.
That philosophy is both his shield and his burden this season. Sanse are competitive in patches — the recent 1-0 home win over Girona was a masterclass in defensive discipline — but the results curve is unforgiving in Segunda, where his squad's average age makes them the youngest in the division. Away from home the execution gap widens, and Ansotegi's task at Nova Creu Alta is to keep the game compact long enough for his technical players to exploit the one or two openings Sabadell's aggressive 4-4-2 will inevitably leave in behind.
Betting Predictions & Tips
Odds: 1.67
The most reliable angle on this fixture is the home win. Sabadell are unbeaten at Nova Creu Alta in the league, sit eight points and six places above their visitors, and face a Sanse side that has lost four of its last five away matches while conceding two goals per game on the road. European books price the home win around 1.67 (best 1.72), implying roughly a 60% chance — and our own assessment puts Sabadell's true win probability closer to 65%. As the cornerstone of a acca tips slip or a standalone play, this is the standout selection on the card.
Odds: 1.85
While Sabadell's defence has been the story of their season, their clean-sheet rate has dipped recently — one shutout in the last six league games — and Sanse have scored in three of their last five. History supports the angle too: both teams scored in three of the four previous meetings between these sides, including both prior visits to Nova Creu Alta. Sanse's young attackers will get moments against a Sabadell back line missing a true defensive anchor at times, and at 1.85 the BTTS market offers clear value against a true probability nearer 60%. Check our GG/NG page for how this market has landed in recent Segunda rounds.
Odds: 2.00
Six of Sanse's twelve league matches this season have gone over 2.5 goals, including a 4-2 home defeat to Almería and a 4-1 loss at Celta Fortuna, and their away games average nearly three goals per match. Sabadell's home fixtures trend lower, but with an in-form Gioacchini, Baena's creativity and a Sanse side that must chase the game at some stage, the over looks generously priced around even money. For deeper statistical breakdowns of totals, see our over under prediction hub.
Odds: 9.00
Our model lands on a 2-1 home victory, a scoreline that simultaneously honours Sabadell's unbeaten home record, Sanse's habit of scoring away from home, and the exact final score of both previous Sanse wins at this stadium. The 2-1 correct score is one of the shortest-priced exact outcomes in the market at around 9.00 and offers an excellent single-ticket complement to the main pick. Browse similar shots on our dedicated correct score tips page.
Odds: 2.75
For a higher-variance play, the American forward is irresistible form-wise: three goals in five appearances, a goal roughly every 100 minutes, and a match-up against the division's leakiest away defence. If Costa hands him a start as we expect, Gioacchini to score anytime around 2.75 is the speculative swing of the night. Combined with the Sabadell win, the same-game multiplier becomes a long-odds lottery ticket worth a small stake. More speculative angles are tracked daily on our hot predictions feed.
📊 Final Score Prediction
Match Analysis
We forecast a 2-1 home victory for Sabadell on Monday night. The logic is layered: first, Sabadell's home defensive record — unbeaten at Nova Creu Alta all season — gives them a structural floor that Sanse's chaotic away performances simply cannot match. Second, the Arlequinats now carry genuine attacking punch through Baena and the red-hot Gioacchini, meaning they are far less reliant on set-piece scraps than the Sabadell sides Sanse beat here in 2022 and 2023. Third, Sanse's young team will have spells of possession and quality — they have scored in the majority of their away games — but their defensive transitions have repeatedly collapsed under sustained physical pressure, and Sabadell's direct 4-4-2 is engineered precisely to apply that pressure.
Expect a tight first half in which Sanse's positional play earns them territory but few clear chances, followed by a second half where Sabadell's superior game management and bench quality tell. The most likely script sees the hosts score first, Sanse equalise during their best spell of pressure, and a late winner — plausibly from a substitute such as Yanis Rahmani or Eneko Aguilar, or from a set piece — send Nova Creu Alta home happy. A 2-1 scoreline covers all of our best angles: home win, both teams to score, and over 2.5 goals in one result. If you prefer the safety-first route, the draw no bet market on Sabadell is the conservative alternative, while sure win predictions and best bets for today round out the day's full card.
Key Insights & Statistics
- Sabadell are unbeaten at home in LaLiga Hypermotion this season (3 wins, 2 draws from 5 home games).
- Real Sociedad B have lost four of their last five away matches, conceding exactly two goals per game on the road.
- Sabadell's Nicholas Gioacchini has scored 3 goals in just 5 league appearances — roughly one goal per 100 minutes.
- Sanse lead the recent head-to-head 2 wins to 1 with 1 draw, but both Sabadell home defeats in that sequence came in the third tier under previous regimes.
- Three of the four previous meetings between the clubs finished with both teams scoring, including both prior Sanse wins at Nova Creu Alta by a 2-1 scoreline.
- Sanse are the youngest squad in the division and have already conceded 22 goals — the second-worst defensive record in the bottom half.
- Sabadell have drawn five of their twelve league matches; turning those stalemates into wins is Ferran Costa's stated priority this autumn.
- European odds make Sabadell a clear favourite at around 1.67, with the draw near 3.67 and the away win near 4.87.
- Edgar González, Sabadell's on-loan defensive anchor, is one booking away from suspension — worth monitoring for live-betting angles.
- Live viewers in Spain can follow the action via DAZN and Movistar+ LaLiga Hypermotion channels, with kick-off at 20:30 CET on Monday, 9 November 2026.
Conclusion
Sabadell versus Real Sociedad B is a fixture defined by trajectory. The hosts are climbing — two promotions in two seasons, an unbeaten home record, a settled tactical identity and an owner-backed project that has turned Nova Creu Alta into one of the toughest away trips in the division for struggling sides. The visitors are a talented but raw development team learning harsh lessons at this level, with an away defensive record that has been punished week after week since August.
The market agrees, pricing Sabadell around 1.67 for the home win, and we see no reason to swim against that tide. Our best picks are Sabadell to win (1.67), both teams to score at 1.85, over 2.5 goals around even money, and the 2-1 correct score at 9.00, with Nicholas Gioacchini an attractive anytime-goalscorer punt at 2.75 for those chasing a bigger price. For wider context across the division and beyond, our prediction football today hub covers every angle of the matchday 13 card, and the livescores page tracks the result in real time on Monday night.
Final score prediction: Sabadell 2-1 Real Sociedad B. Expect the Arlequinats' organisation and home intensity to outweigh Sanse's youthful promise, with a second-half winner settling a game that should deliver goals and drama under the lights in Sabadell.
