Granada CF vs Las Palmas: Match Preview, Predictions and Betting Tips
Published on Friday, 13 November 2026 by Steve
Granada CF vs Las Palmas Prediction
Spain - LaLiga2 Prediction & Betting Tips
Match Overview
Gerard gumbau hi-res stock photography and images - Alamy
Granada CF welcome UD Las Palmas to the Estadio Nuevo Los CĂĄrmenes on Sunday afternoon for a Matchday 14 clash in Spain's LaLiga2, and the Andalusians could hardly arrive in better shape. Pacheta's side sit fifth in the Segunda DivisiĂłn table with 23 points from 12 matches, having taken 13 points from their last five outings â a sequence of four straight league wins bookended by a hard-earned draw. With 20 goals scored and just 14 conceded, Granada have quietly built one of the most balanced squads in the division, and their home form at Los CĂĄrmenes has been the foundation of that promotion push. Fans tracking the weekly football predictions for today will have noticed Granada feature regularly among the most reliable home bankers in the Spanish second tier this season.
Las Palmas, meanwhile, make the long trip east from the Canary Islands sitting tenth on 20 points from 13 games. The islanders' campaign has been a story of two halves already: three consecutive victories that promised a charge toward the play-off places were followed by two straight defeats that cost RubĂ©n de la Barrera his job on 12 October. After a brief caretaker spell under Juan Manuel RodrĂguez, the club turned to Albert SĂĄnchez at the end of October, and the new coach is still searching for the formula that will turn a talented but inconsistent squad into a genuine promotion contender. Canary Islands derbies against mainland sides are always awkward, and anyone browsing the tomorrow football prediction slate will see this fixture flagged as one of the trickier away assignments of the weekend despite Las Palmas' respectable position in the table.
What makes this meeting particularly intriguing is the subtext. Las Palmas have actually dominated this fixture in recent seasons, going unbeaten in the last five head-to-head meetings, and they won the most recent encounter 2-0 at the Gran Canaria in April 2026. But that was a different Las Palmas â a stable, settled side playing at home. This is a team in transition, missing a string of first-choice defenders through injury and international duty, facing the hottest home side in the division. Our analysis, backed by the season's underlying numbers, points firmly toward a home win â and a convincing one. For readers who like to compare verdicts across markets before placing a wager, our Spanish football betting odds analysis offers a useful companion read on how LaLiga2 prices tend to behave in fixtures like this one.
Tactical Preview
Jorge Pascual y el Granada estĂĄn peleados con el gol
Formation & Key Matchups
Granada CF 4-2-3-1
Pacheta has settled on a classic 4-2-3-1 that morphs into a 4-4-2 without the ball. The double pivot of captain RubĂ©n Alcaraz and Gerard Gumbau gives Granada an enormously experienced spine â Alcaraz dictates tempo and breaks up play, while Gumbau's three assists make him one of the side's most productive creative outlets. Ahead of them, Pedro Alemañ operates as the advanced playmaker, with Sergio Rodelas and Alejandro MarquĂ©s providing width and direct running. Jorge Pascual, the club's top scorer with four league goals, leads the line with a physicality that Las Palmas' patched-up back line will struggle to live with. Granada's full-backs, Sergio LĂłpez and PampĂn, push high, and the hosts' 20 goals this season have come from a pleasing variety of sources â set pieces, cutbacks, and transitions alike. For a deeper look at how this system stacks up, see our tactical breakdown of the strongest football formations in the modern game.
Las Palmas 4-4-2
Albert SĂĄnchez inherited a squad built for possession football and has, in his short tenure, leaned toward a pragmatic 4-4-2 that gets bodies behind the ball and looks to feed JesĂ© and Sandro RamĂrez early. JesĂ©, with four goals, remains the islanders' most reliable finisher, while IvĂĄn Jaime (two goals and three assists) is the creative heartbeat from the right half-space. Captain Kirian RodrĂguez anchors midfield alongside Enzo Loiodice â a nice narrative subplot, given the Frenchman joined Las Palmas on a free transfer from Granada on 1 July 2026 and now returns to his former hunting ground. The problem is what sits behind them: with Juanma Herzog, ValentĂn Pezzolesi and Rafa Cruz all away on international duty, and Enrique Clemente, Viti, Marvin Park, Iñaki GonzĂĄlez and Sergio Ruiz all injured, Las Palmas are forced to field a makeshift defence that has conceded 21 goals in 13 games â the leakiest record of any side in the top half. If you are weighing up goals markets rather than the match result, our over/under prediction page is the natural next stop.
Critical Vulnerability
Las Palmas' left flank is the pressure point. With their two first-choice full-backs in Herzog and Pezzolesi unavailable and Clemente â who covered that side â also in the treatment room, the visitors will field either a raw youth product or a converted centre-back at left-back. That squares up directly against Sergio Rodelas and the overlapping Sergio LĂłpez, Granada's most productive wide combination, with Gumbau's diagonal passing perfectly suited to exploit the space in behind. Add in Pascual's aerial dominance against a Bonfanti-Ălex SuĂĄrez pairing that has never started together, and the ingredients for a comfortable home win are all present. Granada's only real concern is the absence of Owen Emeka on international duty and the injured JosĂ© ArnĂĄiz, but Pacheta's depth â MarquĂ©s, Onouha, Bamba â covers those losses comfortably.
Team News & Squad Status
Granada CF đąđąđąđąâȘ
- Owen Emeka is away on international duty and misses out.
- José Arnåiz is ruled out through injury.
- Jorge Pascual starts as the focal point of attack after scoring 4 league goals this season.
- Captain RubĂ©n Alcaraz anchors the midfield â he has worn the armband in every league match so far.
- Manu Lama, ever-present with 12 starts, continues at centre-back alongside Benedikt Gimber.
- RaĂșl Lizoain keeps goal ahead of young Alberto Flores.
Las Palmas đŽđŽđąđąđą
- Juanma Herzog, ValentĂn Pezzolesi and Rafa Cruz are all on international duty.
- Enrique Clemente, Viti, Marvin Park, Iñaki Gonzålez and Sergio Ruiz are all injured.
- New coach Albert SĂĄnchez (appointed 29 October 2026) is still winless after two matches in charge.
- Jesé leads the scoring charts with 4 league goals despite starting only 11 of 13 matches.
- Captain Kirian RodrĂguez is fit and starts in midfield.
- Enzo Loiodice faces his former club after leaving Granada on a free transfer in July 2026.
Predicted Lineups
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| Granada CF 4-2-3-1 | Las Palmas 4-4-2 |
|---|---|
| RaĂșl Lizoain (GK) | JosĂ© Antonio Caro (GK) |
| Sergio LĂłpez (RB) | AndrĂ©s RodrĂguez (RB) |
| Manu Lama (CB) | Giovanni Bonfanti (CB) |
| Benedikt Gimber (CB) | Ălex SuĂĄrez (CB) |
| PampĂn (LB) | Nicholas Opoku (LB) |
| Rubén Alcaraz (CM, C) | Manu Fuster (RM) |
| Gerard Gumbau (CM) | Enzo Loiodice (CM) |
| Sergio Rodelas (RW) | Kirian RodrĂguez (CM, C) |
| Pedro Alemañ (AM) | Ivån Jaime (LM) |
| Alejandro Marqués (LW) | Jesé (ST) |
| Jorge Pascual (ST) | Sandro RamĂrez (ST) |
Head-to-Head Record
El mal tiempo obliga a aplazar el partido del Las Palmas de Jesé antes de medirse al Granada CF | Ideal
The head-to-head history between these two sides is remarkably balanced across the modern era, but the recent trend belongs entirely to the Canary Islanders. Las Palmas have gone unbeaten in the last five meetings â winning two and drawing three â a run that includes the most recent encounter on 2 April 2026, when goals from Ălex SuĂĄrez's side of the pitch settled a 2-0 home victory at the Estadio de Gran Canaria. Granada's players and supporters have not forgotten that result, and the atmosphere at Los CĂĄrmenes on Sunday is expected to reflect a genuine hunger to end that winless sequence. Those who study draw no bet predictions will note that historically this fixture has produced plenty of stalemates â six of the 16 meetings have ended level â but the current trajectories of the two clubs suggest history is about to be rewritten.
Granada's five wins in this fixture have typically come at home, and their recent record at the Nuevo Los CĂĄrmenes under Pacheta has been excellent â their two most recent home league outings both ended in 2-0 victories, and they have conceded just a handful of goals on their own turf all season. Las Palmas, by contrast, have lost their last two league matches on the spin and have never beaten Granada away from the islands in the current H2H cycle. For bettors looking at alternative angles, the double chance prediction market offers little value here given the home side's dominance, and even the BTTS and clean sheet markets lean toward a one-sided affair given the visitors' missing personnel.
Key Players Comparison
Jorge Pascual
Granada's top scorer with 4 goals. His movement between centre-back and full-back will target Las Palmas' makeshift left side.
Gerard Gumbau
3 assists from midfield and the metronome of Pacheta's system. His set-piece delivery is a genuine weapon against a weakened defence.
Jesé
Las Palmas' leading marksman with 4 goals. At 33, his penalty-box instincts remain sharp but his supply line is disrupted by injuries.
IvĂĄn Jaime
2 goals and a team-high 3 assists. The most creative player on the pitch and Las Palmas' best hope of an upset.
The individual battle that will decide this match takes place in the half-spaces. Granada's trio of Alemañ, Gumbau and Alcaraz have combined for a healthy share of the team's goals and assists, and their ability to rotate possession will stretch a Las Palmas midfield missing Iñaki GonzĂĄlez and Sergio Ruiz. Kirian RodrĂguez and Loiodice are accomplished operators, but they will be defending for long stretches. Up top, the contrast is stark: Pascual and MarquĂ©s offer pace, power and aerial threat, while JesĂ© and Sandro are both 31 or older and thrive on service rather than creating their own chances. With IvĂĄn Jaime the only genuine creative outlet left in the visiting XI â and the man Sandro relies on most, per the underlying shot data â it is hard to see how Las Palmas manufacture enough quality opportunities to trouble Lizoain's goal more than once, if at all. Our guide to reading football form explains why current trajectory, not reputation, should drive your staking decisions in fixtures like this.
The Managers
Pacheta (Granada CF)
JosĂ© Rojo MartĂn â universally known as Pacheta â has brought calm authority and tactical clarity to Granada since taking charge. A promotion specialist with a long CV in Spanish football, including spells at Real Valladolid and Villarreal, Pacheta has his Granada side defending with discipline and attacking with variety, and his decision to build the team around veteran captain RubĂ©n Alcaraz has paid dividends.
Pacheta's in-game management has been a feature of the four-match winning run, with second-half substitutions regularly changing matches. Expect him to target Las Palmas' depleted flanks from the first whistle and to have Chinaza Onouha and Kader Bamba ready off the bench to exploit tired legs late on.
Albert SĂĄnchez (Las Palmas)
Albert SĂĄnchez was appointed on 29 October 2026, his first head-coaching role at this level, after the club sacked RubĂ©n de la Barrera with the team 15th in the table. A short caretaker spell under Juan Manuel RodrĂguez steadied results marginally, but SĂĄnchez has lost both of his opening matches and is still working out his best XI amid an injury crisis he did not create.
SĂĄnchez's task on Sunday is unenviable: he must find a way to keep Las Palmas competitive at one of the division's most difficult venues with a defence that barely knows each other's names. His pragmatic 4-4-2 suggests he will accept a low block and look to counter through JesĂ© and Sandro â a plan that demands near-perfect execution and a dose of luck.
Betting Predictions & Tips
Odds: 1.75
Granada have won their last four league matches, sit fifth, are strong at home, and face a Las Palmas side missing up to eight first-team players through injury and international duty. The market prices Granada as clear favourites and even that looks generous given the gulf in current form and squad availability. This is the cornerstone selection of our LaLiga2 tips for the weekend.
Odds: 2.45
Las Palmas' attacking plan relies on Jesé and Sandro converting the few chances Ivån Jaime can carve out, but with their build-up disrupted by so many absentees, clean sheets are firmly on the agenda. Granada have kept things tight at home all season and the visitors have scored just 19 times in 13 games. Our clean sheet betting guide breaks down why this market is mispriced in matches with lopsided squad availability.
Odds: 2.10
Our model makes Granada roughly two goals better than this Las Palmas side on neutral territory, and home advantage only widens the gap. With the visitors forced into a patched-up defence, a multi-goal home victory is a very live outcome â the -1.5 line offers a handsome premium for those who expect the scoreline to reflect the mismatch.
Odds: 1.80
Granada's matches have been goal-rich this season and their attacking depth â Pascual, MarquĂ©s, Rodelas, Alemañ â should generate enough volume against a defence conceding 1.6 goals per game. Even if Las Palmas blank, 3-0 or 3-1 lands this bet comfortably. Check our full over/under tips for the rest of the weekend's card.
Odds: 13.00
Our headline prediction is a 3-0 home win: Pascual to open the scoring, a second before the break as Las Palmas' reshuffled defence tires, and a late third on the counter as the visitors chase the game. Small stakes only, but the 13.00 price is a fair reward for a scoreline our analysis makes the single most likely outcome. More long-shot ideas live on our correct score tips page.
đ Final Score Prediction
Match Analysis
Everything points one way here. Granada are the form team of the pair â four straight league wins, 20 goals scored, and a fortress-like feel at the Nuevo Los CĂĄrmenes where their last two home matches both ended in 2-0 victories. Las Palmas arrive having lost their last two matches, under a brand-new manager who has never coached at this level, and without Juanma Herzog, ValentĂn Pezzolesi and Rafa Cruz (international duty) plus Enrique Clemente, Viti, Marvin Park, Iñaki GonzĂĄlez and Sergio Ruiz (injured). That is eight absentees, the majority of them defenders or defensive midfielders, and it forces a back four that has never played together against the division's most in-form attack.
Expect Granada to control possession through Alcaraz and Gumbau, to overload Las Palmas' improvised left flank through Rodelas and Sergio LĂłpez, and for Jorge Pascual's physical presence to tell as the match wears on. JesĂ© may fashion half a chance on the break, but Lizoain's goal is far more likely to remain untouched â Las Palmas have been kept scoreless in two of their last five H2H visits to Granada. A comfortable 3-0 home win is our confident call, and it anchors this weekend's banker of the day and bet of the day selections. Readers building accumulators can find supporting legs among our sure win predictions and the hot predictions list, while those following the match live can track every kick via our live scores hub.
Key Insights & Statistics
- Granada have won their last four LaLiga2 matches and are unbeaten in five (D W W W W), climbing to 5th with 23 points from 12 games.
- Las Palmas have lost their last two league fixtures after three straight wins, slipping to 10th on 20 points from 13 matches.
- Eight Las Palmas players are unavailable: Herzog, Pezzolesi and Rafa Cruz on international duty; Clemente, Viti, Marvin Park, Iñaki Gonzålez and Sergio Ruiz injured.
- Las Palmas are unbeaten in the last five H2H meetings (2W, 3D), including a 2-0 win in April 2026 â but Granada's home record in this fixture is traditionally strong.
- Jorge Pascual leads Granada's scoring with 4 league goals; Jesé tops Las Palmas' chart with the same tally.
- Enzo Loiodice faces his former club after joining Las Palmas on a free transfer from Granada in July 2026.
- Las Palmas have conceded 21 goals in 13 matches â the leakiest defence of any side in the top half of the table.
- New Granada coach Pacheta has leaned on veterans Rubén Alcaraz (captain, ever-present) and Manu Lama (12 starts) to build the division's fifth-best attack.
- Albert SĂĄnchez is winless in his first two matches as Las Palmas head coach since his appointment on 29 October 2026.
- Home win 1.75, draw 3.90, away win 4.50 â the market makes Granada strong favourites, and our model agrees.
Conclusion
Granada CF vs Las Palmas arrives at a crossroads for both clubs. The hosts are building genuine promotion momentum under Pacheta, blending veteran leadership with the sharpest home attack outside the top four, and a fifth consecutive league win would cement their place in the play-off conversation heading into the winter. The market agrees: at 1.75 for a home win and 3.90 for the draw, European odds reflect what the form book has been shouting for weeks. If you are mapping out your weekend portfolio, this fixture belongs in the same bracket as our must-win teams today shortlist.
Las Palmas, for their part, are a proud club in temporary crisis. The injuries and international call-ups stripping their defence would test any side in the division, and asking a rookie manager to solve that puzzle away at the Nuevo Los Cårmenes is close to an impossible assignment. Sånchez will set his side up to be compact and to counter, but without the injured Iñaki Gonzålez and Sergio Ruiz, the supply line to Jesé and Sandro looks threadbare. Our win either half analysis suggests even a single half of Granada dominance could settle the contest.
Our final prediction is a 3-0 home victory for Granada CF â a result that would extend their winning run, snap Las Palmas' five-match unbeaten H2H streak, and underline the difference between a settled, upwardly mobile squad and a transitional one. Take Granada to win at 1.75 as the banker, spice it up with win-to-nil at 2.45 and -1.5 handicap at 2.10, and consider the 13.00 on a 3-0 correct score for a speculative flourish. Whatever you back, do it with the discipline our European 1X2 betting guide recommends: stake sensibly, respect the variance, and enjoy what should be a compelling afternoon of LaLiga2 football in Granada.
