Clermont vs Guingamp: Match Preview, Predictions and Betting Tips
Published on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 by Steve
Clermont vs Guingamp Prediction
France Ligue 2 Prediction & Betting Tips
Match Overview
Strasbourg and Montpellier keen on Clermont's Vital N'Simba - Get French Football News
Friday night football in Clermont-Ferrand brings together two of Ligue 2's most talked-about sides for very different reasons, as Clermont Foot host En Avant Guingamp at the Stade Gabriel-Montpied in Matchweek 10 of the 2026/27 season. Clermont, now led by summer appointment David Guion, find themselves in an extraordinary statistical position: bottom-half strugglers in 16th place with zero wins from nine matches, yet holders of a remarkable seven draws from those nine games. Guingamp, meanwhile, sit 13th on eight points after a rollercoaster start under Sylvain Ripoll, mixing flashes of attacking brilliance with costly defensive lapses. This fixture historically delivers goals and drama — the last four league meetings between these two have produced 13 goals — and for bettors browsing our football predictions for today, this is one of the most intriguing fixtures on the entire Ligue 2 card this weekend.
The stakes could hardly be more contrasting. Clermont are the draw specialists of the division — 1-1 at Dunkerque, 0-0 at home to Boulogne, 1-1 at Grenoble, a 2-3 home defeat to Red Star and a wild 3-3 draw at Laval in their most recent outing. That is just nine goals scored and twelve conceded in nine rounds, a pattern of tight, low-event football that has kept them out of the relegation zone but left fans frustrated. Guingamp arrive with the opposite profile: eleven goals scored but fifteen conceded, with their matches averaging close to three goals per game. Their away form has been particularly porous, conceding at a rate of nearly two goals per game on their travels. Anyone studying the over/under markets will immediately notice that these two teams' stylistic profiles point toward a game that opens up as it progresses — exactly the kind of setup our full match analysis covers in detail below.
Our prediction for this clash is a 1-2 away victory for Guingamp. While the market has Clermont as slight home favourites at 2.95 and the draw priced around 3.30, we believe Guingamp's superior attacking ceiling — led by Amine Hemia, the most valuable player on either roster at an estimated €1.8 million — combined with Clermont's inability to turn dominance into wins makes the Breton side the value play at 2.45. Clermont simply cannot finish: they have drawn seven of nine matches, and in five of those they created enough to win. Against a Guingamp side that has won two of its last three away fixtures by two-goal margins in this head-to-head sequence, we expect Clermont to score first or equalize once, but to be undone late on. Before placing any wager, we always recommend cross-referencing with our double chance predictions and the latest odds movements, because team news released on matchday could shift this picture.
Tactical Preview
AMINE HEMIA | The Heart Of Guingamp
Formation & Key Matchups
Clermont Foot 4-3-3
David Guion has installed a possession-based 4-3-3 since taking over on 24 June 2026, replacing the Grégory Proment and Sébastien Mazeyrat era. Clermont build patiently from Théo Guivarch in goal, with captain Yoann Salmier and Ethan Kena Kabeya forming a left-foot/right-foot centre-back partnership. Vital N'Simba, the highest-rated player in the squad this season (7.23 average rating), pushes high from left-back, while the midfield trio of Jean Grillot, Rominigue Kouamé and Adrien Hunou look to control tempo. The front three of Florian Bianchini, Christ Okou and Luís Semedo is mobile but has managed only a handful of goals between them — the critical weakness in this system.
Guingamp 4-2-3-1
Sylvain Ripoll, the former France U21 coach now in his third season at Roudourou, prefers a structured 4-2-3-1 that transitions quickly into a 4-3-3 in possession. Captain Dylan Louiserre anchors the double pivot alongside Tom Ducrocq, shielding a back line where Donatien Gomis and Tuomas Ollila provide the aerial presence. Amine Hemia operates as the number ten and is the creative heartbeat of the side, with Florent Sanchez and Teddy Averlant providing width for the attacking platform. Up front, the young striking corps of Amadou Samoura, Stanislas Kielt and Brandon Bokangu offers pace in behind — precisely the kind of weapon that has hurt Clermont on the counter this season, as seen in the 3-3 at Laval where Clermont's high line was repeatedly exposed.
Critical Vulnerability
Clermont's critical vulnerability is their soft defensive transitions and chronic lack of a clinical striker. They have kept the ball well but conceded twelve goals in nine games, and both of their defeats came when opponents broke quickly into the channels behind N'Simba and Sambia. Guingamp, for their part, are vulnerable from set pieces and crosses — they have conceded fifteen goals already, several from second balls in their own box. The battle between Guingamp's counter-attacking speed and Clermont's high defensive line is where this match will be decided, and it is why we lean toward goals and an away win rather than another Clermont stalemate. For bettors weighing safety versus value, our both teams to score tips section suggests BTTS is strongly live here, given Clermont's 67% BTTS rate and Guingamp's 83% away BTTS rate over recent fixtures.
Team News & Squad Status
Clermont Foot 🔵🔴
- New boss: David Guion appointed on 24 June 2026 after the club parted ways with Grégory Proment; Guion is still searching for his first win after nine matches (0W 7D 2L, 0.78 pts per game).
- Captain: Yoann Salmier has captained the side in all nine league matches this season.
- Top scorers: Florian Bianchini (2 goals, 1 assist) and Christ Okou (2 goals) — worryingly, no Clermont player has more than two league goals.
- Form: D-D-D-L-D — seven draws in nine games, the most in Ligue 2; they have not won since the final day of last season.
- Key summer signings: Florian Bianchini (Swansea), Luís Semedo (Sunderland), Saïdou Sow (Strasbourg), Mohamed Guindo (RAAL La Louvière) and Mathys Tourraine (Paris FC).
- Departures: Yadaly Diaby (Vancouver), İlhan Fakılı (Beşiktaş), Habib Keïta (Kocaelispor) and Cheick Oumar Konaté (Kifisia).
- Standout performer: Left-back Vital N'Simba, averaging a 7.23 rating — the best in the squad.
- Goalkeeper rotation: Théo Guivarch has started every league match; Massamba Ndiaye waits on the bench.
Guingamp 🔴⚫
- Manager: Sylvain Ripoll, in charge since 2024 after six years coaching France U21, steering a youthful squad with an average age under 24.
- Captain: Dylan Louiserre leads the side from midfield; Donatien Gomis shares leadership duties in defence.
- League position: 13th with 8 points (2W 2D 5L), scoring 11 and conceding 15 — one of the most entertaining sides in the division to watch.
- Star man: Amine Hemia (No. 10), valued at €1.8m, is the creative hub between the lines.
- Squad: Goalkeepers Teddy Bartouche, Adrián Ortolá and Noah Marec; defenders Erwin Koffi, Jérémie Matumona, Tuomas Ollila, Jeovanni Dianganga, Idriss Planeix and Albin Démouchy; midfielders Louiserre, Tom Ducrocq, Hemia, Florent Sanchez, Teddy Averlant, Jasser Chamakh, Darly Nlandu and Joel Matondo; forwards Stanislas Kielt, Amadou Samoura, Samir Ben Brahim, Gauthier Ott and Brandon Bokangu.
- Youngest player: Ibrahima Diakité (19); oldest: Adrián Ortolá (33) — a clear youth-first recruitment model.
- Recent new faces: Darly Nlandu, Erwin Koffi and Jérémie Matumona all signed this window as Ripoll reshapes the squad.
Predicted Lineups
Dylan Louiserre : « Montrer à mes coéquipiers que tout est sous contrôle » | Le Télégramme
| Clermont Foot 4-3-3 | Guingamp 4-2-3-1 |
|---|---|
| Théo Guivarch (GK) | Teddy Bartouche (GK) |
| Ivan M'Bahia (RB) | Erwin Koffi (RB) |
| Yoann Salmier (CB, C) | Donacien Gomis (CB, C) |
| Ethan Kena Kabeya (CB) | Tuomas Ollila (CB) |
| Vital N'Simba (LB) | Jérémie Matumona (LB) |
| Jean Grillot (CM) | Dylan Louiserre (DM, C) |
| Rominigue Kouamé (CM) | Tom Ducrocq (DM) |
| Adrien Hunou (CM) | Amine Hemia (AM) |
| Florian Bianchini (RW) | Florent Sanchez (RW) |
| Christ Okou (ST) | Stanislas Kielt (ST) |
| Luís Semedo (LW) | Teddy Averlant (LW) |
Head-to-Head Record
Swansea City transfer news: Florian Bianchini joins Clermont on loan - BBC Sport
These two clubs know each other extremely well, and the historical rivalry leans narrowly in Clermont's favour. Across the modern era, Clermont have won five of the eleven meetings, Guingamp have won four, and two have ended level. What makes this fixture special is its goal tendency: the last four league encounters produced 13 goals, including a 4-1 Clermont rout in October 2024 and a staggering 5-0 Clermont away win in March 2021, still one of the heaviest defeats in Guingamp's Ligue 2 history. Clermont have won the last two meetings without conceding — 1-0 at the Stade Gabriel-Montpied in May 2026 and 1-0 at Roudourou in October 2025 — but before that, Guingamp won 3-1 at home in March 2025. If you enjoy studying head-to-head trends before backing a result, our full-time prediction hub applies exactly this kind of historical filtering to every match we cover.
The most recent chapter was written on 9 May 2026, when Clermont edged this fixture 1-0 at home in a tense end-of-season affair despite Guingamp dominating possession (59%) and out-shooting their hosts 17 to 19 overall with six shots on target apiece. That match told the story of both clubs perfectly: Guingamp controlled the ball but lacked a cutting edge, while Clermont defended deep and struck once. Interestingly, the two draws in this fixture (0-0 in November 2020 and 0-0 at Roudourou earlier that season) both came in tight, cagey contests — a pattern that will tempt many toward the draw at 3.30. However, Guingamp's current squad under Ripoll is far more attack-minded than the sides that drew blanks in 2020, and their matches this season have been anything but cagey. That is why our correct score model lands on 1-2 rather than a repeat of last season's 1-0, and readers who follow our correct score tips will know we only deviate from a team's established pattern when the underlying numbers justify it — as they do here with Guingamp's away games averaging over three goals.
Key Players Comparison
Vital N'Simba (Clermont) — The Congolese left-back has been Clermont's most consistent performer (7.23 rating), contributing at both ends. His duels with Florent Sanchez down Guingamp's right will be a fascinating subplot.
Amine Hemia (Guingamp) — Guingamp's €1.8m talisman and the most valuable player on the pitch. Operating as the number ten between the lines, Hemia is the man who unlocks compact defences, and Clermont's soft central midfield is exactly the kind of opponent he feasts on.
Dylan Louiserre (Guingamp) — The captain and metronome. His set-piece delivery and control of tempo away from home will be vital if Guingamp are to manage the hostile Montpied atmosphere.
Stanislas Kielt (Guingamp) — The young forward leads the line with intelligent movement. With Clermont's centre-backs drawn wide by Guingamp's wingers, Kielt's runs into the channels could be decisive late in the game.
Théo Guivarch (Clermont) — Has made the most starts of any Clermont player (nine) and faces a busy evening; Guingamp's away matches have produced an average of over four goals per game in the last six meetings across all competitions involving these profiles.
The individual battle that will decide this match is Amine Hemia against Clermont's double defensive screen. Clermont's midfield three of Grillot, Kouamé and Hunou has struggled all season against creative number tens — the 3-3 draw at Laval exposed exactly that weakness — and Hemia arrives in the form of his life as the hub of everything Guingamp do well. On the flanks, Bianchini versus Matumona is equally compelling: Bianchini has been Clermont's only reliable source of goals, but Matumona is one of Ripoll's most trusted summer signings. In goal, the experienced Guivarch against Bartouche could become a story in itself, because both defences have leaked goals, and shot volume will be high. For a broader look at how individual duels translate into betting value, our hot predictions page tracks the players in form across all leagues this week, and Hemia currently ranks among the most productive attacking midfielders in Ligue 2 on a per-90 basis.
The Managers
David Guion (Clermont Foot)
Appointed on 24 June 2026 after Grégory Proment's departure was confirmed, Guion arrived with a reputation for building organised, hard-to-beat sides from his years at Reims and Bordeaux. Nine matches in, the organisation is evident — Clermont have conceded just twelve goals — but the transformation is incomplete. His 0.78 points per game is a source of mounting pressure, and sections of the Montpied faithful are already restless despite the team's unbeaten-in-five run, because four of those five were draws.
Guion's challenge against Guingamp is psychological as much as tactical: his players must rediscover the killer instinct that deserted them in draws with Boulogne and Dunkerque. He has favoured Guivarch in goal, Salmier as his on-field leader, and a mobile front three, but results suggest he may need to be braver earlier in matches — a sentiment echoed by tactical analysts who have tracked Clermont's xG underperformance all season. A first home win of the campaign would transform the mood in the Auvergne.
Sylvain Ripoll (Guingamp)
Ripoll is one of the most decorated developmental coaches in French football, having led France's U21s for six years before taking over at Guingamp in 2024. Now in his third season at Roudourou, he has built the youngest squad in the division around a clear identity: high-tempo transitions, technical midfielders, and fearless young attackers. The 13th-place standing flatters neither his ambition nor his team's performances in flashes, but the 2-2-5 record masks real progress in chance creation.
Ripoll's away record is the blot on his copybook — Guingamp have been far more open on the road — yet his sides have a habit of rising for big fixtures, and beating Clermont at Montpied would be a statement result. His faith in captain Louiserre, his €1.8m gem Hemia, and teenage prospects like Diakité reflects a long-term project that is ahead of schedule in terms of style, if not yet points. He will see Clermont's seven draws as proof that they can be beaten by a team brave enough to attack them, and that is precisely the game plan we expect on Friday night.
Betting Predictions & Tips
Odds: 1.70
Our headline pick. Clermont have failed to win any of their nine league matches, and while their draw-heavy profile makes the outright away win at 2.45 tempting, the draw no bet option protects against the single most likely Clermont outcome — another stalemate. Guingamp have the division's superior attacking talent in this matchup and have won two of the last four H2H meetings. This selection combines value with a statistical safety net, and it anchors our draw no bet portfolio for the weekend.
Odds: 1.75
The numbers are overwhelming. Clermont's matches have seen BTTS in 67% of games this season, and Guingamp's away fixtures have produced BTTS in 83% of recent outings. Guingamp have conceded fifteen goals in nine matches — only the bottom two have worse defensive records — while Clermont, despite their low scoring, have found the net in seven of nine. The H2H trend supports it too: four of the last five meetings saw both teams score. Explore similar angles in our GG/NG predictions section, where this market is tracked daily across all major leagues.
Odds: 1.95
Clermont's games average 2.33 total goals, Guingamp's a hefty 2.89, and the combined away average in Guingamp's fixtures is well over three goals per game. The last four H2H meetings produced 13 goals (3.25 per game), including a 4-1 and a 3-1. With Clermont chasing a first home win in front of an impatient home crowd and Guingamp committing numbers forward on the break, we project 2.9 total goals for this fixture, making the over 2.5 line at near even-money a strong statistical play. Our over/under prediction hub models this exact scenario as one of the weekend's top goal expectancy matches in Ligue 2.
Odds: 9.50
Our model's most probable scoreline. Guingamp win 1-2 in roughly 11-12% of simulations, the single highest-scoring outcome, ahead of 1-1 at around 11%. The logic: Clermont score at home — they have done so in most home games this season — but concede twice to a Guingamp side whose away attack has produced 1.5 goals per game on average against softer defences than this. Late-game fatigue has been a Clermown theme, with both of their defeats featuring goals conceded after the 75th minute, so expect the decisive strike to arrive late. Find our full methodology and daily score picks at the correct score tips page.
Odds: 4.20
For smaller stakes, this combined market offers excellent compensation for the risk. It requires the away win we predict plus an open game — both supported by the data, but requiring more to go right than the draw no bet. Guingamp have won three of their last five away H2H fixtures by scoring at least twice, and Clermont's last two home defeats (Red Star 2-3, and the recent home loss to Red Star before the Laval draw) both featured three or more total goals. Speculative plays like this belong in a diversified portfolio rather than a single-bet strategy — see our bet of the day and accumulator tips pages for how we structure multi-leg approaches responsibly.
📊 Final Score Prediction
Match Analysis
We expect a match of two distinct halves. The opening forty-five should follow the established Clermont script: patient possession, a compact 4-3-3, and long spells without a clear chance, as Guingamp sit in their mid-block and look to spring Hemia between the lines. Clermont's best route is through Bianchini isolating Matumona on the right, and we project the hosts to find the net once — most likely between the 30th and 55th minutes — either through Bianchini cutting inside or Okou attacking a N'Simba cross. However, Clermont's recurring failure has been game management after scoring or levelling: they conceded late equalisers to Dunkerque and Laval and collapsed in the final quarter against Red Star.
Guingamp's path to victory lies in patience and transitional speed. Louiserre and Ducrocq must weather the early pressure, then feed Hemia in the pockets where Clermont's midfield is weakest. Our projection has Guingamp equalising before the hour mark through a quick combination between Hemia and Kielt, and sealing the win in the final fifteen minutes as Clermont push bodies forward in search of a first home victory, leaving space for Bokangu or Samoura off the bench. A 1-2 away win fits every major trend: Guingamp's superior attacking metrics, Clermont's inability to close out games, the visitors' recent H2H competitiveness, and the high-goal profile of both teams' away fixtures. For an alternative French football perspective this season, you can also review our Nantes vs Toulouse prediction, another Ligue 2 showdown between ambitious sides, and the France vs Sweden preview for international flavour featuring French football's new generation that Ripoll himself helped develop.
Key Insights & Statistics
Clermont Foot 63 - Overview
- Clermont are the only winless team left in Ligue 2 this season (0 wins from 9), yet sit 16th rather than bottom thanks to a league-high seven draws.
- Clermont's last five results read 1-1, 0-0, 1-1, 2-3, 3-3 — an extraordinary run where four of five matches ended in draws, all with goals except the Boulogne stalemate.
- Guingamp's away matches have averaged over 3.1 total goals per game this season, with 83% of them seeing both teams score — the perfect profile for our BTTS and over 2.5 selections.
- The last four H2H meetings produced 13 goals, including Clermont's 4-1 win in October 2024 and a remarkable 5-0 Clermont away win in March 2021.
- Clermont have won the last two H2H meetings 1-0 without conceding — but Guingamp have out-possessed and out-shot them in both, suggesting the underlying gap is closing.
- Amine Hemia (€1.8m) is the most valuable player on either squad; Clermont's entire attacking output is shared among Bianchini (2 goals) and Okou (2 goals).
- Vital N'Simba's 7.23 average rating is the best of any Clermont player this season — a left-back being their top performer underlines the team's attacking problems.
- Both Clermont defeats this season came against sides that counter-attacked with pace (Red Star) — exactly Guingamp's preferred weapon under Ripoll.
- David Guion averages just 0.78 points per game since his June 2026 appointment; a home defeat here would ramp up pressure significantly heading into a trip to Nantes.
- The 1-2 correct score is the single most probable outcome in our simulation model (~11-12%), narrowly ahead of 1-1 (~11%), reinforcing both the BTTS and away-win angles.
Conclusion
Clermont Foot against Guingamp is a classic Ligue 2 collision of identities: the league's most draw-prone side against one of its most chaotic and entertaining. Clermont, for all their admirable structure under David Guion, have forgotten how to win football matches. Nine games without a victory is not bad luck anymore — it is a pattern, reinforced by a lack of a reliable goalscorer and a worrying habit of conceding at the worst possible moments. Their seven draws have kept them afloat, but the relegation playoff spot they currently occupy is a fair reflection of a team that creates just enough to compete and never enough to triumph.
Guingamp arrive with nothing to fear. Ripoll's young side has already shown this season that it can score against anyone, and its away matches have been goal fests all campaign. The Breton club's defensive generosity keeps the door open for Clermont to score — we fully expect the hosts to find the net once — but the visitors' attacking ceiling, embodied by Hemia between the lines and the pace of Kielt, Samoura and Bokangu, should prove decisive over ninety minutes. The market's lean toward a home win at 2.95 undervalues Guingamp at 2.45, and our model identifies clear value on the away side across multiple markets. For readers building a weekend slip, pairing the draw no bet with BTTS from our sure win predictions shortlist creates a balanced, data-driven combination rather than a reckless longshot.
Final verdict: Clermont 1-2 Guingamp. Expect Clermont to score first or equalise once, expect the game to flow with chances at both ends, and expect Guingamp's youthful energy to deliver the decisive blow in the final quarter of the match. The combination of Guingamp's superior attacking metrics, Clermont's psychological fragility in closing out games, and the H2H's goal-rich recent history all point the same way. Whatever you decide to back, check the confirmed lineups an hour before kick-off, manage your stakes sensibly, and follow our daily football predictions for full coverage of every fixture on the Ligue 2 card this weekend — including value picks from across Europe's second tiers in our dedicated previews section. Good luck, and enjoy what promises to be one of the most entertaining matches of Matchweek 10.
