Landskrona vs Varberg: Match Preview, Predictions and Betting Tips
Published on Sunday, 25 October 2026 by Steve
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS Prediction: Home Win and Goals in Superettan
Sweden - Superettan Prediction & Betting Tips
Match Overview
Landskrona BoIS welcome Varbergs BoIS to Landskrona IP for a compelling round 28 Superettan fixture with only three matches remaining in the 2026 campaign. The hosts begin the week fifth with 43 points from 27 matches, while Varberg occupy third place on 46 points. That three-point gap gives the contest genuine significance: Landskrona can draw level with their visitors on 46, whereas Varberg can protect their position and keep pressure on the teams above them. This preview uses team news and market information available on 24 October 2026. For readers comparing this fixture with other selections, our football predictions today page provides a wider daily schedule.
The latest form points toward entertainment. Landskrona have scored 15 times across their last five league matches, winning 4-0 against GIF Sundsvall, 4-1 away at Nordic United and 3-2 at home to Sandviken before losing 4-3 at Falkenberg. Their only other result in that sequence was a 2-1 home defeat by Helsingborg. Varberg arrive after consecutive draws, 1-1 at Östersund and 0-0 at home to Helsingborg, following victories over Norrby and Brage. The visitors have six goals in their last five, a much quieter return than Landskrona's attacking surge. Our football form guide explains why those trends matter, but also why they should not be treated as a guarantee.
Landskrona's most recent match captured both sides of their current profile. They fell 4-1 behind at Falkenberg, then reduced the deficit to 4-3 through Edi Sylisufaj and Tobias Karlsson after Kevin Jensen's first-half goal. They finished with 61 percent possession, 12 shots, six efforts on target and 12 corners, yet their defensive mistakes proved decisive. Varberg's latest performance was different: they controlled 62 percent of possession against Helsingborg and produced 13 shots, but had to accept a goalless draw. With the hosts playing with greater attacking freedom and Varberg still chasing a top-two finish, our call is a 3-1 Landskrona victory. The home-win position also fits the recent head-to-head swing, because Landskrona have won the last two meetings 2-1 and 3-2.
Tactical Preview
Formation & Key Matchups
Landskrona BoIS 4-3-3
Robin Asterhed's Landskrona have settled into an attacking 4-3-3, with Adam Egnell and Kota Sakurai offering control and forward distribution while Constantino Capotondi connects midfield to the front line. Kevin Jensen provides width and direct running, Mathias Andreasen gives the attack a central reference point, and Sylisufaj is a major option from the bench or in a rotated starting role. The full-backs must choose their moments carefully: advancing can pin Varberg's wingers back, but early losses of possession leave space beside the centre-backs. Readers interested in how this structure differs from other systems can consult our guide to the strongest football formations. Landskrona's clearest route is to circulate the ball quickly, draw Varberg's midfield toward one side and then attack the far channel before the visiting defense resets.
Varbergs BoIS 4-3-3
Victor Salwén also favors a 4-3-3. Daniel Strindholm is expected behind a back four of Noah Johansson, Gustav Broman, Edvin Tellgren and Niklas Dahlström, with Isak Vidjeskog, Erion Sadiku and Albin Winbo forming the midfield unit. Wilhelm Ärlig and Laorent Shabani can stretch the defense around central forward Oliver Alfonsi, while Shanyder Borgelin and Jonathan Nilsson supply strong alternatives. Varberg's 62 percent possession against Helsingborg showed their willingness to build patiently, but five shots on target did not produce a goal. Against Landskrona, they need quicker penetration rather than harmless circulation. Winbo's passing and Ärlig's movement are especially important, as is the first defensive action after possession is lost. If Varberg allow Capotondi to receive between lines, their centre-backs could repeatedly be pulled toward the ball and away from the spaces Landskrona want to attack.
Critical Vulnerability
The decisive weakness may be Landskrona's altered central defense. Andreas Murbeck is listed with a yellow-card suspension, removing an experienced starter from the side that conceded four at Falkenberg. André Álvarez Pérez is the natural candidate to step in, but any change can affect marking assignments and the timing of the offside line. Varberg should test that partnership early with diagonal runs and deliveries behind the full-backs. The counterpoint is that Varberg have conceded in four of their last five matches and allowed 34 league goals overall. Their away matches have also been consistently open. A match that becomes transitional should therefore suit Landskrona's in-form attackers as much as the visitors. The home side must balance aggression with rest defense, keeping at least one midfielder positioned to slow counters rather than committing everyone toward the penalty area.
Team News & Squad Status
Landskrona BoIS 🔥
- Suspension: Andreas Murbeck is listed as unavailable through a yellow-card suspension. Our predicted XI therefore brings André Álvarez Pérez into central defense alongside Tobias Karlsson. No additional unreported absence is assumed; the official teams should be checked when they are released before kick-off.
- Latest news and form: Landskrona lost 4-3 at Falkenberg on 17 October after a spirited recovery from 4-1 down. Sylisufaj scored again and now has eight league goals, while Capotondi supplied another assist. Roni Arabaci and Mathias Andreasen were the notable August attacking additions, and Andreasen started the latest match.
- 2026/2027 squad: Because Swedish football uses a calendar-year season, this is the current 2026 first-team pool with the 2027 outlook noted separately. Goalkeepers: Marcus Pettersson, Amr Kaddoura and Albin Andersson. Defenders: Gustaf Bruzelius, Tobias Karlsson, Gustaf Westström, André Álvarez Pérez, Emmanuel Moungam, Andreas Murbeck, William Åkesson and Maximilian Milosevic. Midfielders: Adam Egnell, Allen Smajic, Enes Hebibović, Kota Sakurai, Max'Med Omar Mohamed, Viggo Benndoff and Zakaria Loukili. Forwards: Constantino Capotondi, Kevin Jensen, Edi Sylisufaj, Roni Arabaci, Salomo Ojala and Mathias Andreasen.
- 2027 availability note: Milosevic, Álvarez Pérez and Moungam are among the players with longer-term contractual security, while Arabaci and Andreasen also have agreements extending beyond 2026. Åkesson and Loukili are loan players whose current arrangements run to 30 November 2026, and several senior contracts expire at the end of December. The final 2027 roster therefore remains subject to renewals, returns and recruitment rather than being a confirmed copy of the present squad.
Varbergs BoIS 💪
- Latest news and form: Varberg drew 0-0 with Helsingborg on 19 October despite controlling possession and creating the better shooting volume. Borgelin, Jonathan Nilsson, Lucas Sibelius and Oliver Brynéus all entered during that match, underlining Salwén's attacking depth. The visitors are unbeaten in three league games, but back-to-back draws have slowed their momentum.
- Selection outlook: The expected XI closely follows the Helsingborg match, with Strindholm retaining the goalkeeper role and Alfonsi leading the line. Borgelin is a powerful alternative if Varberg want a more direct approach, while Jonathan Nilsson offers another scoring option from wide or attacking positions. No speculative injury has been added to this preview; late fitness information and the confirmed lineup take priority.
- 2026/2027 squad: Goalkeepers: Oscar Ekman, Daniel Strindholm and Oliver Mårtensson. Defenders: Edvin Tellgren, Gustav Broman, Noah Johansson, Hampus Zackrisson, Joakim Lindner, Emil Hellman, Niklas Dahlström and Benjamin Mujdzic. Midfielders: Albin Winbo, Erion Sadiku, Isak Vidjeskog, Axel Vidjeskog, Lucas Kåhed, Anton Thorsson, Lucas Sibelius and Oliver Brynéus. Forwards: Laorent Shabani, Jonathan Nilsson, Wilhelm Ärlig, Oliver Alfonsi, Shanyder Borgelin, Nuurdin Ali Mohudin and Olle Werner.
- 2027 availability note: Tellgren is scheduled to join GAIS on 1 January 2027, making his remaining Varberg appearances particularly significant. Sibelius is on loan from Västerås SK until 30 November 2026, and Lucas Kåhed arrived from IFK Göteborg in July. As with Landskrona, the final 2027 group cannot be treated as settled until expiring loans and contracts are resolved.
Predicted Lineups
| Landskrona BoIS 4-3-3 | Varbergs BoIS 4-3-3 |
|---|---|
| Marcus Pettersson | Daniel Strindholm |
| Gustaf Bruzelius | Noah Johansson |
| André Álvarez Pérez | Gustav Broman |
| Tobias Karlsson | Edvin Tellgren |
| Gustaf Westström | Niklas Dahlström |
| Adam Egnell | Isak Vidjeskog |
| Kota Sakurai | Erion Sadiku |
| Zakaria Loukili | Albin Winbo |
| Kevin Jensen | Wilhelm Ärlig |
| Mathias Andreasen | Oliver Alfonsi |
| Constantino Capotondi | Laorent Shabani |
Head-to-Head Record
The tracked head-to-head record contains 15 meetings, including the 2022 club friendly: Varberg have seven wins, Landskrona six and there have been two draws. The overall margin is therefore narrow, but the recent direction favors Landskrona. They won 3-2 away in June 2026 and 2-1 at home in October 2025. Before that, Varberg earned a 4-2 home victory in May 2025 and a 4-1 win at Landskrona in August 2024. Those scorelines demonstrate why historical dominance should not be oversimplified. Both clubs have produced big wins, and four of the last five league meetings have exceeded 2.5 goals. Our football prediction and livescore analysis guide is a useful companion when weighing old results against current form.
The most relevant lesson from June's 3-2 Landskrona win is that the fixture can reward brave attacking play. Varberg were leading the league at that stage, yet Landskrona found three goals away from home. However, the earlier 4-1 Varberg victory at this venue remains a warning against assuming home advantage will settle everything. The likely pattern is not a slow tactical stalemate but a contest in which both teams receive periods of momentum. For bettors who prefer a safer two-outcome position over a straight home win, our double chance predictions explain that market approach. Here, though, the stronger attacking form and successive head-to-head wins keep us on Landskrona's side.
Key Players Comparison
Edi Sylisufaj vs Wilhelm Ärlig
Sylisufaj leads Landskrona with eight league goals, while Ärlig has eight for Varberg. Both can change the match without dominating possession for long periods.
Constantino Capotondi vs Albin Winbo
Capotondi combines seven goals with 14 assists in the current league campaign. Winbo is Varberg's leading creative reference with five assists and remains central to their progression.
Adam Egnell vs Shanyder Borgelin
Egnell's six goals and midfield control contrast with Borgelin's seven-goal penalty-box threat. Borgelin could be especially important if Varberg need a second-half tactical change.
Capotondi is the standout creative player in this matchup. His 14 assists make him much more than a scorer, and his recent pass for Tobias Karlsson at Falkenberg showed his ability to remain influential even when the team is under pressure. Sylisufaj's eight goals give Landskrona a proven finisher whether he starts or enters after halftime. Varberg can respond with Ärlig and Borgelin, who have 15 league goals between them, while Jonathan Nilsson adds five more. The midfield battle is equally important: Egnell's forward contribution must be balanced against Winbo's distribution and Vidjeskog's work around the ball. A single duel will not decide the match, but the side whose creators receive possession facing goal more often should generate the clearer chances.
The Managers
Robin Asterhed
Asterhed has encouraged an assertive Landskrona side whose 45 league goals are only one fewer than Varberg's total entering this round. His preferred 4-3-3 gives technically secure midfielders a platform and allows the wide players to attack aggressively. Two wins from two recorded meetings against Varberg also strengthen the case that his game plan can trouble this opponent.
The immediate test is defensive game management. Conceding four first-half goals at Falkenberg cannot be dismissed simply because the recovery was impressive. With Murbeck suspended, Asterhed must organize a revised central pairing and decide when to use Sylisufaj from the bench. His substitutions at Falkenberg helped change the match, and similar timing could be crucial again if Varberg remain compact through the opening hour.
Victor Salwén
Salwén stepped up from an assistant role to become head coach in January 2026, providing continuity rather than a complete tactical rebuild. Varberg's third-place position and 46 points validate that approach. Their 4-3-3 can dominate territory, and the squad's depth gives him multiple ways to adjust the front line without abandoning the overall structure.
His main challenge is converting control into goals. The Helsingborg draw featured enough possession and shooting to expect more than a blank, and two consecutive draws have increased the importance of this away trip. Salwén may initially trust Alfonsi again, but Borgelin offers a direct alternative. Defensively, he must prevent his full-backs from being isolated against Landskrona's quick wide combinations, particularly when Winbo and Sadiku move forward to support attacks.
Betting Predictions & Tips
Odds: 2.02
The home win is our primary selection. Landskrona have won three of their last five, scored 15 goals in that spell and beaten Varberg in the last two head-to-head meetings. Varberg's higher league position deserves respect, but consecutive draws and only six goals in five matches make them less convincing favorites than the table alone might suggest. The 2.02 decimal price is an indicative market snapshot, not a promise that the same price will remain available. Readers new to three-way markets can review our European 1X2 betting guide before assessing the risk.
Odds: 1.62
This selection aligns closely with the 3-1 prediction and with the attacking evidence on both sides. Landskrona's last five league matches have all produced goals for both teams, while Varberg have enough quality through Ärlig, Borgelin, Shabani and Alfonsi to trouble a defense missing Murbeck. The main concern is Varberg's 0-0 draw with Helsingborg, but their overall away profile remains much more open. Both teams also scored in each of the last five league meetings between these clubs. For more fixtures in this market, visit our both teams to score predictions page.
Odds: 1.67
Over 2.5 goals is a logical companion to the home-win and both-teams-to-score positions. Landskrona's last five results have produced 24 total goals, an average of 4.8 per match. Their 4-3 defeat, 3-2 win and two four-goal victories demonstrate how quickly their games can open up. Four of the last five league head-to-heads have also cleared this line. Varberg's recent 0-0 introduces some caution, so this should not be treated as certain, but the broader pattern favors at least three goals. Our over and under predictions provide additional context for totals betting.
Odds: 1.26
For a lower-priced alternative, Landskrona or draw covers two of the three full-time outcomes. It loses only if Varberg win, and therefore suits readers who expect the hosts to avoid defeat but do not want to rely entirely on a home victory. The obvious trade-off is the short 1.26 return, which offers limited margin for error and is unlikely to suit a standalone value strategy. It is better understood as a conservative expression of the same match view rather than a risk-free option. Stake discipline remains essential even when the decimal price looks comfortable.
Odds: 10.90
Our exact-score call is 3-1 to Landskrona. It combines the expectation of a home win with both teams scoring and at least three total goals, but it requires one precise outcome and is therefore much riskier than the main selections. A 2-1, 3-2 or 2-0 result would validate parts of the analysis while losing this bet. The 10.90 decimal price reflects that difficulty. Keep any correct-score stake small and separate from the main match position. Our correct score tips page explains this high-variance market in more detail.
📊 Final Score Prediction
Match Analysis
The projected 3-1 score is based on Landskrona's superior attacking rhythm, home setting and consecutive victories in this fixture. We expect the hosts to create enough pressure through Capotondi, Jensen and the central forwards to score more than once, with Sylisufaj offering additional firepower if he does not start. Varberg's league position makes an away goal entirely plausible, particularly against a revised Landskrona defense. Nevertheless, their recent reduction in scoring output and Landskrona's ability to raise the tempo after halftime point toward the hosts establishing a two-goal margin.
A realistic match script would feature a competitive opening, followed by Landskrona finding space as Varberg commit more players forward in pursuit of points. If Varberg score first, the prediction becomes much less secure because their midfield can slow the game and defend with a compact block. If Landskrona score first, however, the match should open in exactly the way their attackers prefer. That is why the home win is the main bet and the exact score remains speculative. For matches already underway, our live scores section can help readers check how the actual contest is developing.
Key Insights & Statistics
- Landskrona are fifth with 43 points from 27 matches; Varberg are third with 46 from the same number.
- Landskrona have scored 15 goals in their last five league games, while Varberg have scored six.
- The hosts' last five results are 1-2, 4-0, 4-1, 3-2 and 3-4, producing 24 total goals.
- Varberg are unbeaten in three matches but have drawn their last two, including 0-0 against Helsingborg.
- Landskrona won June's reverse fixture 3-2 and have won the last two meetings overall.
- The 15-match tracked head-to-head record stands at six Landskrona wins, seven Varberg wins and two draws.
- Andreas Murbeck is suspended for Landskrona, creating an important change in central defense.
- Edi Sylisufaj and Wilhelm Ärlig have eight league goals each; Constantino Capotondi has seven goals and 14 assists.
- Both teams scored in each of the last five league head-to-head meetings.
- Our prediction is Landskrona BoIS 3-1 Varbergs BoIS, with 2.02 on the home win as the main indicative price.
Conclusion
This is a meeting between a Varberg side protecting third place and a Landskrona team capable of pulling level with them. The table slightly favors the visitors, but current attacking form, home advantage and the last two head-to-head results favor Landskrona. Murbeck's suspension prevents unqualified confidence in the home defense, yet it also strengthens the case that Varberg can contribute a goal. The resulting balance points toward an open match rather than a cautious draw.
The best-supported position is Landskrona to win at indicative decimal odds of 2.02, with both teams to score and over 2.5 goals offering related alternatives. The 1.26 double-chance price is a more conservative way to back the hosts to avoid defeat, while 10.90 for a 3-1 correct score should be treated strictly as a small-stake speculative option. Odds move, team sheets can change the analysis and no betting selection is guaranteed, so readers should compare prices and confirm lineups before making any decision.
Our final verdict is Landskrona BoIS 3, Varbergs BoIS 1. Capotondi's creativity, Sylisufaj's finishing and the hosts' recent scoring momentum can prove decisive, provided the revised defense withstands Varberg's early pressure. For more analysis beyond this fixture, browse our football predictions for tomorrow, explore the Landskrona vs Helsingborg preview, or compare Varberg's earlier test in the Varberg vs Norrköping preview. Whatever approach you choose, keep stakes proportionate and treat the prediction as informed analysis rather than certainty.