Granada CF vs Cadiz CF: Match Preview, Predictions and Betting Tips
Published on Friday, 16 October 2026 by Steve
Granada CF vs Cadiz CF Prediction & Betting Tips â 18 October 2026
Spain LaLiga2 (Segunda DivisiĂłn) Prediction & Betting Tips
Match Overview
CĂĄdiz C.F.: El CĂĄdiz podrĂa retirarle la oferta de renovaciĂłn a Ledesma | Marca
Granada CF welcome relegation-threatened Cadiz CF to the Estadio Nuevo Los CĂĄrmenes on Sunday afternoon in one of the standout fixtures of the LaLiga2 weekend, and our full match preview is one you can also cross-reference with our daily football predictions for today page for the complete picture across all leagues. The Nasrides arrive in confident mood after back-to-back victories â a hard-fought 1-0 win away at Burgos followed by a thrilling 3-2 success at Real Sociedad B â results that lifted Pacheta's men into mid-table security with 14 points from their opening nine matches. Granada's attacking numbers this season are respectable at 1.56 goals per game, but it is their two wins from the last five that show a team rediscovering its identity after a stuttering September.
The visitors could hardly be arriving in more contrasting form. Cadiz sit 20th in the 22-team Segunda DivisiĂłn table, stuck in the relegation zone with a solitary win to their name â the resounding 4-0 home demolition of Leganes at the start of October â surrounded by four defeats in their other five league outings. Albert Celades' Yellow Submarine were beaten 1-0 at home by Sporting Gijon last weekend, their third 1-0 defeat in their last five league games, and they are conceding early goals, failing to score away from home, and looking every inch a side in freefall. You can find similarly lopsided mismatches highlighted on our hot predictions page, and this Andalusian derby has all the hallmarks of a home banker.
Granada have won their last two matches on the road, which makes their home form â just two wins in five at Los CĂĄrmenes â the one statistical caveat for backers. However, context matters: those home draws and defeats came against organised top-half sides, while Cadiz arrive having lost every single away league match so far this season without scoring in two of them. With Granada's creative hub functioning well, Uzuni and Boye combining effectively, and Cadiz missing defender Iuri Tabatadze through injury, everything points towards a comfortable home victory. Our final score prediction is Granada CF 2-0 Cadiz CF, and we explain exactly why in the sections below, from tactical matchups to the best value betting angles in European odds.
Tactical Preview
Trigueros: âLa primera opciĂłn era Granada, era el que mĂĄs me querĂaâ - AS.com
Formation & Key Matchups
Granada CF 4-2-3-1
Pacheta has settled on a 4-2-3-1 that morphs into a 4-4-2 out of possession, with Manu Trigueros and Gonzalo Villar sitting as the double pivot and dictating the tempo. The key to Granada's recent improvement has been the verticality of their full-backs â Carlos Neva overlapping on the left and Ricard Sanchez providing width on the right â which stretches opposition midfields and creates half-spaces for captain Myrto Uzuni to drift into. Granada average 13.4 shots per game with 58% possession, numbers that dwarf Cadiz' 10.5 shots and 56% possession, and against a side that has conceded the opening goal in four of their last five matches, expect Granada to start fast and pin the Yellow Submarine back. Readers who like to model goal expectations from tactical setups should check our over/under prediction guide for the totals market on this fixture.
Cadiz CF 4-4-2
Albert Celades persists with a compact 4-4-2 that is designed to stay narrow, soak up pressure and spring Chris Ramos and the on-loan Antonio Cordero into the channels on the counter-attack. The problem is execution: Cadiz have scored just six goals in eight league games, are winless away from home, and their expected-goals numbers are among the worst in the division. Without the ball they drop into a low block, but their defensive line has been breached repeatedly â 17 goals conceded in eight matches â and the absence of Iuri Tabatadze removes their most physical centre-back option, likely forcing VĂctor Chust and Fali into a pairing that lacks recovery pace against Granada's movement. The away side's approach to low-block games is covered in detail in our both teams to score predictions analysis, and this match profile strongly suggests Cadiz will fail to find the net.
Critical Vulnerability
Cadiz's critical vulnerability is their left defensive flank. Javi HernĂĄndez is a solid defender but offers little protection against combination play, and Granada's right side â Ricard Sanchez overlapping beyond Antonio Puertas â has produced more final-third entries than any other Granada channel this season. With Uzuni drifting towards that half-space between centre-back and full-back, Cadiz's Fali will be dragged across, leaving space for Lucas Boye to attack the near post. Additionally, Cadiz's midfield double pivot has been slow to screen the edge of the box, an area from which Trigueros has already scored twice this season. Granada will look to recycle possession patiently, switch the play quickly to the right flank, and isolate the full-back in one-versus-one situations â a pattern we believe will yield at least one goal in each half.
Team News & Squad Status
Granada CF đ„
- Form (last 5): W 1-0 at Burgos, W 3-2 at Real Sociedad B, L 2-3 vs Andorra, L 2-3 at Leganes, D 1-1 vs Albacete.
- Injuries: No unavailable players reported â Pacheta has a fully fit senior squad to choose from for the first time this season.
- Goalkeeper rotation: Veteran RaĂșl Lizoain is expected to continue between the posts ahead of youngster Alberto Flores.
- Selection debate: Gonzalo Villar pushing for a start in the double pivot after an impressive cameo at Real Sociedad B.
- Key man: Captain Myrto Uzuni has been directly involved in the majority of Granada's league goals this season and starts on the left of the attacking three.
- Home record: Unbeaten in two of their last three at Los CĂĄrmenes, though three of their last four home league games have gone over 2.5 goals.
Cadiz CF đ„¶
- Form (last 5): L 0-1 vs Sporting Gijon, W 4-0 vs Leganes, D 1-1 at Tenerife, L 1-2 vs Girona, L 0-1 vs Las Palmas.
- Injuries: Centre-back Iuri Tabatadze is ruled out with injury â a significant blow to Celades' defensive plans.
- Away woes: Winless on the road in 2026/27, with no goals scored in their last two away league fixtures.
- Loans: Antonio Cordero, re-joined on loan from Newcastle United for the 2026/27 campaign, starts on the right of midfield and is their most creative outlet.
- Striker concern: Chris Ramos has scored just once since August and is under pressure after a run of scoreless away performances.
- Relegation pressure: Sitting 20th with around seven points from eight matches, defeat in Granada would leave them deep in crisis heading into the international break.
Predicted Lineups
Las dos caras de Myrto Uzuni | Ideal
| Granada CF 4-2-3-1 | Cadiz CF 4-4-2 |
|---|---|
| RaĂșl Lizoain (GK) | JeremĂas Ledesma (GK) |
| Ricard Sånchez (RB) | Iza Carcelén (RB) |
| RaĂșl Torrente (CB) | VĂctor Chust (CB) |
| Pablo VĂĄzquez (CB) | Fali (CB) |
| Carlos Neva (LB) | Javi HernĂĄndez (LB) |
| Manu Trigueros (CDM) | Rubén Alcaraz (CM) |
| Gonzalo Villar (CDM) | Ălex FernĂĄndez (CM) |
| Antonio Puertas (RW) | Antonio Cordero (RM) |
| Myrto Uzuni (CAM) | Brian Ocampo (LM) |
| Arnau Ortiz (LW) | Chris Ramos (ST) |
| Lucas Boyé (ST) | Roger Martà (ST) |
Head-to-Head Record
Chris Ramos: "Tenemos que pensar ya en el partido del viernes" | CĂĄdiz Club de FĂștbol | Web Oficial
These two Andalusian clubs have produced fiercely contested encounters over the years, with the most recent meeting â at the Nuevo Mirandilla last season â finishing CĂĄdiz 1-2 Granada, a result that underlined the Nasrides' recent edge in this fixture. Across the last six competitive meetings, Granada have shaded the series, and crucially, three of those six matches have produced two goals or fewer, reinforcing the pattern of tight, tactical derbies where the home side's intensity tends to make the difference. For punters weighing the possibility of a stalemate, our draw no bet predictions page explains how to protect your stake in games like this one.
The psychological edge sits firmly with Granada: they have won two of the last three H2H meetings and scored in five of the last six. Cadiz's last victory in this fixture came in a game where Granada finished with ten men, and there is little in the Yellow Submarine's current away form to suggest they can repeat that trick. Historical trends are, of course, only one input â and you can explore how far back form should influence your decisions in our fulltime prediction methodology â but when current-season form and H2H history point in the same direction, the signal strengthens considerably.
Key Players Comparison
The Albanian captain remains Granada's talisman, operating from the left half-space and arriving late in the box. His movement against a depleted Cadiz back line â missing the injured Iuri Tabatadze â is the single biggest mismatch on the pitch, and his set-piece delivery adds another dimension.
Cadiz's lone striker battles on scraps: one goal in eight league games tells its own story. With Cordero's deliveries his best hope of service, Ramos will spend much of the afternoon wrestling with Pablo VĂĄzquez and RaĂșl Torrente, one of the most physical centre-back pairings in the division.
The veteran midfielder has scored twice this season from the edge of the area and controls Granada's tempo. Against a Cadiz midfield that concedes fouls in dangerous positions, Trigueros' range of passing and shooting could prove decisive in breaking down a low block.
The Argentine goalkeeper has been Cadiz's best performer by some distance this season, single-handedly keeping the score down in defeats to Girona and Sporting Gijon. Granada will need patience and precision to beat him twice â but the volume of chances they create suggests it will happen.
The individual battle that will decide this contest is Uzuni versus Cadiz's makeshift central defence. With Tabatadze injured, Fali and Chust lack the recovery pace to live with Uzuni's diagonal runs, and Granada's two wins in their last five have both featured goals created from exactly that movement. For a deeper look at how star-player form feeds into scoreline modelling, our correct score tips page breaks down how player matchups translate into specific score predictions â methodology that underpins our 2-0 call here. Elsewhere, the midfield collision between Trigueros and Ălex FernĂĄndez will determine whether Cadiz can escape their own half; on current evidence, that duel only has one winner.
The Managers
Pacheta (Granada CF)
The experienced Spaniard, appointed in the summer of 2025 and contracted until June 2027, has quietly rebuilt Granada into one of LaLiga2's most possession-dominant sides. His philosophy is clear: control the ball, control the territory, and let the full-backs provide the width while the front four rotate freely. After a difficult September â back-to-back 3-2 defeats to Andorra and Leganes â Pacheta tweaked his pressing triggers, and the results have been immediate: six points from the last six available, including a first clean sheet of the campaign at Burgos.
Pacheta's man-management has also been notable, reintegrating veterans like Trigueros around young talents such as Arnau Ortiz. His calm authority stands in stark contrast to the pressure cooker his counterpart is working in, and his record against bottom-half sides last season was among the best in the division.
Albert Celades (Cadiz CF)
Celades took over the Yellow Submarine after Sergio GonzĂĄlez's chaotic seven-game second spell ended last season, inheriting a squad low on confidence and, frankly, low on goals. The former Valencia and Real Madrid Castilla coach is a details-oriented tactician who wants his 4-4-2 to compress space and attack quickly, but the evidence of this season â one win in eight, 20th place, no away goals in two trips â suggests the message is not landing.
His cause has not been helped by injuries, with Tabatadze's absence compounding a threadbare defence, and there are already murmurs around the Nuevo Mirandilla about the direction of travel. Celades needs a performance in Granada to quieten the noise; anything resembling their recent away displays could accelerate the end of his tenure.
Betting Predictions & Tips
Odds: 1.75 (European)
Granada have won their last two matches, sit ten places above Cadiz in the table, are at home, have no injuries, and face a side that is winless away this season and has scored zero away goals in its last two league trips. At 1.75, the home win offers an implied probability of just 57%, which we believe understates a true probability closer to 65-68%. This selection anchors our weekend card and also features among our banker of the day shortlist.
Odds: 2.85 (European)
With Cadiz conceding early goals in four of their last five and missing their best defensive organiser in Tabatadze, the case for a multi-goal home win is compelling. The Asian handicap at -1.0 means a push if Granada win by exactly one, but we project a two-goal margin â matching our 2-0 scoreline â making the 2.85 on offer genuine value. Similar handicap logic is applied across fixtures on our sure win predictions page.
Odds: 2.60 (European)
Cadiz have failed to score in three of their last five league games, have not scored away from home since the opening month of the season, and now face a Granada side that kept a clean sheet last time out at Burgos. Granada's two centre-backs, Pablo VĂĄzquez and RaĂșl Torrente, are dominant in the air, and Cadiz's only consistent shooting threat, Chris Ramos, has scored once in eight. Combining a home win with a shutout at 2.60 is where the real edge lies.
Odds: 9.50 (European)
Our headline prediction. The data pattern is clear: Cadiz's away games average under two total goals, they concede first in the majority of their matches, and Granada's last three victories have all been by exactly two goals or accompanied by a clean sheet. We expect Granada to strike either side of half-time, manage the game professionally through Trigueros, and close the contest out in the final twenty minutes. For correct-score methodology applied across other fixtures, see our dedicated correct score tips hub.
Odds: 2.60 (European)
For those chasing bigger prices, consider Granada to lead at the break and win the match. Cadiz have conceded the opening goal in four of their last five fixtures, and Granada have scored before half-time in three of their last four home league games. Pacheta's side start aggressively, and with a packed Los CĂĄrmenes behind them, a fast start could settle this early. Stake small â this is a speculative play, best combined with singles and doubles using principles from our acca tips and win accumulator guides.
đ Final Score Prediction
Match Analysis
We project a controlled, professional 2-0 home victory. The first goal is expected to arrive between the 20th and 40th minutes, likely originating from Granada's right flank where Ricard Sanchez's overlap isolates Javi HernĂĄndez, with Uzuni or Boye applying the finish. Cadiz's only realistic route back into the game is a set-piece or a Cordero counter-attack, but a Granada defence marshalled by Pablo VĂĄzquez has conceded just 1.22 goals per game at home this season and should cope comfortably. The second goal should come late â between the 65th and 85th minutes â as Celades is forced to commit bodies forward and the space opens up for a transition finish, sealing both the three points and our correct-score call.
From a betting-hedging perspective, those looking for alternative structures can explore the double chance prediction page, although at 1.75 the straight home win is where the value sits. We will track the outcome and fold the result into our rolling LaLiga2 dataset â follow-up coverage of Granada's next fixture can be found in our Granada CF vs Burgos CF and Mirandes vs Granada CF previews, while Cadiz's upcoming schedule includes Cadiz CF vs Leganes, Racing Santander vs Cadiz CF and Castellon vs Cadiz CF â all worth monitoring as the relegation battle develops, alongside top-of-the-table clashes like Sporting Gijon vs Almeria and Almeria vs Valladolid.
Key Insights & Statistics
- League positions: Granada sit 9th-10th with 14 points from 9 games (W4 D2 L3, 14:13); Cadiz are 20th with around 7 points from 8 games (W1 D4 L3, 6:12 in their last five).
- Away-day collapse: Cadiz are winless on the road in LaLiga2 2026/27 and have failed to score in two of their three away league matches this season.
- First-goal pattern: Cadiz have conceded the opening goal in four of their last five league fixtures â Granada, by contrast, have scored first in three of their last four home games.
- Shot volume: Granada average 13.4 shots per game at 58% possession versus Cadiz' 10.5 shots at 56% â but Granada convert far better (1.56 goals/game vs 0.75).
- Defensive absences: Cadiz are without centre-back Iuri Tabatadze (injury), while Granada report no unavailable players in Pacheta's squad.
- H2H trend: Granada have won two of the last three meetings, including a 2-1 victory at the Nuevo Mirandilla last season.
- Goals profile: Cadiz's last five league games have produced a low goals average, with three 1-0 results; three of the last six H2H meetings finished with two goals or fewer.
- Managerial stability: Pacheta is building momentum in his second season (contract to 2027), while Celades is under mounting pressure in 20th place.
- Loan watch: Antonio Cordero, on loan at Cadiz from Newcastle United for 2026/27, is the visitors' most dangerous creative outlet and merits close marking.
- Value angle: European odds of 1.75 for a Granada win imply only 57% probability; our model prices the home win closer to 66%.
Conclusion
Granada CF vs Cadiz CF pits a mid-table side building momentum against a relegation-zone team in crisis, and every data point â form, home/away splits, injuries, head-to-head history and tactical matchups â points in the same direction. Granada's blend of possession control, full-back width and Uzuni's intelligent movement should overwhelm a Cadiz defence missing Iuri Tabatadze and devoid of away confidence, while the Yellow Submarine's toothless attack â one win in eight, zero away goals in two of three trips â is unlikely to trouble RaĂșl Lizoain's goal.
Our prediction is a 2-0 Granada victory, achieved with a goal in each half, and the recommended plays reflect that: Granada to win at 1.75 as the anchor, the -1.0 Asian handicap at 2.85 and the win-to-nil at 2.60 for value, with the 2-0 correct score at 9.50 and the Granada/Granada HT/FT at 2.60 as the higher-variance options. As ever, manage your stakes sensibly â for broader market coverage including tomorrow's card, our football predictions for tomorrow and bet of the day pages are updated daily.
Enjoy the Andalusian derby at the Estadio Nuevo Los CĂĄrmenes, and keep an eye on the wider Segunda DivisiĂłn picture: Granada's next fixtures against Burgos and Real Valladolid will tell us whether they can mount a promotion push, while Cadiz simply must find points from somewhere before their season slips irretrievably away. Whatever happens, Geekinco will have the data, the analysis and the predictions to guide your next move.
