All Boys vs Nueva Chicago: Match Preview, Predictions and Betting Tips
Published on Saturday, 15 August 2026 by Steve
All Boys vs Nueva Chicago
Argentina Primera Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips
Match Overview
Dylan Gissi: de la roja ante Patronato al pedido de rescisión de hinchas de Chicago
The Buenos Aires football landscape prepares for a compelling chapter in one of Argentina's most storied lower-division rivalries as All Boys welcome Nueva Chicago to the iconic Estadio Islas Malvinas for a crucial Primera Nacional Round 25 fixture on Monday, 17 August 2026. This encounter represents far more than just another league match; it is the Superclásico del Ascenso, a clash that has defined the competitive spirit of Argentine second-tier football for generations. With the 2026/2027 season entering its decisive phase, both clubs find themselves at critical junctures in their respective campaigns, making this fixture a potential turning point for either side. The historical significance of this matchup cannot be overstated, as these two institutions from the western neighborhoods of Buenos Aires have shared decades of intense battles, memorable moments, and passionate fan culture that elevates every meeting beyond the ordinary.
All Boys enter this fixture occupying 14th position in Primera Nacional Zona A, having accumulated 24 points from 24 matches with a record of 4 wins, 12 draws, and 8 defeats. Their season has been characterized by an extraordinary propensity for stalemates, with 50% of their fixtures ending level, a statistic that immediately signals their defensive resilience but also their chronic struggles in converting opportunities into victories. The Albo have become specialists in the art of the draw, and this trend has only intensified under their recently appointed manager Fabián Nardozza, who took charge following the departure of Aníbal Biggeri. Nardozza's immediate challenge has been to transform a team that dominates possession phases but lacks the cutting edge in the final third into a more ruthless attacking unit capable of securing the three points that their defensive solidity arguably deserves. For punters exploring draw predictions, All Boys represent a fascinating case study in consistent deadlock outcomes.
Nueva Chicago, meanwhile, sit 11th in Zona B with 29 points from 22 matches, recording 7 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats under the guidance of Germán Lanaro. The Torito have experienced a more balanced campaign, demonstrating greater attacking potency with 20 goals scored compared to All Boys' 14, though their defensive record shows an identical 20 goals conceded. Lanaro's side arrives at Islas Malvinas following a mixed run of results, having secured a morale-boosting 2-1 victory over San Martín de Tucumán before suffering a disappointing 2-0 defeat away to Gimnasia y Tiro. This inconsistency has defined their season, with impressive home performances often undermined by struggles on the road. The reverse fixture between these sides on 30 March 2026 ended in a goalless draw at Estadio República de Mataderos, setting the stage for what many analysts anticipate will be another tightly contested affair. Those seeking over-under betting insights should note that both teams have shown strong tendencies toward low-scoring encounters throughout the campaign.
Tactical Preview
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Formation & Key Matchups
All Boys 4-4-2
Under Fabián Nardozza, All Boys have predominantly operated within a structured 4-4-2 formation that prioritizes defensive organization and compact midfield spacing. The tactical approach relies heavily on the experienced central defensive partnership of Iván Zafarana and Maximiliano Coronel, both of whom bring significant leadership and aerial dominance to the backline. The full-back positions are typically occupied by Emiliano Purita on the right and either Franco Quiroz or Yago De Vito on the left, with instructions to support attacks while maintaining defensive discipline. In midfield, the double pivot of Juan Passaglia and Santiago Caseres provides the defensive screen, while the wide areas are manned by creative outlets such as Matías Rodríguez and Ricardo Blanco, who are tasked with delivering service to the striking duo. The forward pairing has rotated between Lucas Cano, Bruno Medina, and Alejo Tabares, though none has managed to establish consistent goal-scoring form, with Tabares leading the team's charts with just two league goals. This lack of offensive productivity is the primary concern heading into a fixture where breaking down Nueva Chicago's organized defensive block will require patience, precision, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance. For tactical enthusiasts, our analysis of football tactics evolution provides deeper context on how formations like the 4-4-2 have adapted in modern Argentine football.
Nueva Chicago 4-2-3-1
Germán Lanaro has favored a fluid 4-2-3-1 system that allows Nueva Chicago to transition quickly between defensive solidity and attacking width. The defensive foundation is built around the experienced center-back pairing of Dylan Gissi and Guillermo Ferracuti, flanked by the versatile Gonzalo Paz and the dynamic Bruno Palazzo. The double pivot of Emiliano Méndez and Matías Vera offers both defensive protection and the ability to initiate attacks through progressive passing. The attacking midfield trio presents the team's greatest creative threat, with Maximiliano Rogoski operating centrally as the chief playmaker, supported by the industrious Evelio Cardozo and the technically gifted Gabriel Vega. Leading the line, Sebastián Cocimano has emerged as the primary goal-scoring threat with five goals, closely matched by Rogoski's identical tally. This formation allows Nueva Chicago to press high when opportunities arise while maintaining the structural integrity to absorb pressure against possession-dominant opponents. The tactical battle between Lanaro's transitional approach and Nardozza's more methodical style promises to be fascinating, with the midfield zone likely determining the outcome. Readers interested in advanced pressing analysis will find the midfield duel particularly compelling from a betting perspective.
Critical Vulnerability
The most significant tactical vulnerability in this fixture lies in All Boys' chronic inability to convert territorial dominance into clear-cut scoring opportunities. Despite averaging respectable possession statistics, the Albo have managed only 14 goals in 24 matches, a return that ranks among the lowest in the division. Their expected goals (xG) data reveals a team that creates few high-quality chances and struggles to break down organized defensive units. Nueva Chicago, conversely, have shown a tendency to become vulnerable when forced to defend sustained pressure, particularly in wide areas where their full-backs can be isolated against overlapping runners. However, given All Boys' lack of attacking thrust, this weakness may not be fully exploited. The critical battleground will be the central midfield, where Nueva Chicago's creative hub of Rogoski and Cardozo must navigate the disciplined screening of Passaglia and Caseres. If All Boys can neutralize Rogoski's influence, they will significantly diminish Nueva Chicago's attacking threat, potentially forcing another low-scoring encounter that aligns with their season-long pattern. For those researching both teams to score markets, the historical data and tactical setup strongly suggest a "No" outcome remains the most probable scenario.
Team News & Squad Status
All Boys 😐
- Manager Fabián Nardozza took charge in August 2026 following Aníbal Biggeri's departure, with his tenure still in its infancy.
- The Albo are without a win in their last five matches, recording three draws and two defeats during this period.
- Key defender Hernán Grana remains sidelined with a muscle injury, forcing Nardozza to rely on the Zafarana-Coronel partnership.
- Midfielder Gustavo Turraca is doubtful after picking up a knock in training, potentially opening a starting berth for Nicolás Barrientos.
- Top scorer Alejo Tabares (2 goals) is expected to lead the line alongside Bruno Medina despite limited service in recent weeks.
- Goalkeeper Lukas Ramil Sauer has established himself as first choice, though Nicolás Carrizo provides experienced backup.
- All Boys have kept 8 clean sheets this season but have failed to score in 9 of their 24 league matches.
- The squad has been boosted by the return of midfielder Alexis Melo from a minor ankle strain, adding depth to the creative department.
Nueva Chicago 😐
- Manager Germán Lanaro has stabilized the side since his appointment, achieving a 38% win rate across his first eight matches in charge.
- Star midfielder Maximiliano Rogoski (5 goals, 3 assists) is fully fit and will be central to the visitors' game plan.
- Forward Sebastián Cocimano (5 goals) is expected to lead the line after recovering from a minor calf issue that limited his training.
- Defender Gonzalo Trindade is suspended after accumulating five yellow cards, with Roman Zalazar likely to deputize at right-back.
- New signing Enzo Roldán from Unión has gradually integrated into the squad and could feature from the bench.
- Goalkeeper Facundo Masuero has been the undisputed starter, making 23 appearances and providing consistency between the posts.
- Nueva Chicago have kept 7 clean sheets this season and have failed to score in 6 of their 22 league matches.
- Winger Thiago Ocampo (3 goals, 4 assists) is available after international duty with Argentina's youth setup and should start on the left flank.
Predicted Lineups
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| All Boys 4-4-2 | Nueva Chicago 4-2-3-1 |
|---|---|
| Lukas Ramil Sauer (GK) | Facundo Masuero (GK) |
| Emiliano Purita (RB) | Roman Zalazar (RB) |
| Iván Zafarana (CB) | Dylan Gissi (CB) |
| Maximiliano Coronel (CB) | Guillermo Ferracuti (CB) |
| Franco Quiroz (LB) | Gonzalo Paz (LB) |
| Matías Rodríguez (RM) | Emiliano Méndez (CDM) |
| Juan Passaglia (CM) | Matías Vera (CDM) |
| Santiago Caseres (CM) | Maximiliano Rogoski (CAM) |
| Ricardo Blanco (LM) | Evelio Cardozo (RW) |
| Bruno Medina (ST) | Thiago Ocampo (LW) |
| Alejo Tabares (ST) | Sebastián Cocimano (ST) |
Head-to-Head Record
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The rivalry between All Boys and Nueva Chicago, affectionately known as the Superclásico del Ascenso, has produced memorable encounters throughout the decades, and their recent head-to-head record reflects the competitive balance that defines this fixture. Across their last eight meetings in all competitions, the spoils have been shared remarkably evenly, with neither side able to establish sustained dominance over the other. The most recent clash on 30 March 2026 at Estadio República de Mataderos ended in a goalless draw, a result that perfectly encapsulated the tactical caution and mutual respect that often characterizes these encounters. Both managers that day prioritized defensive organization over attacking ambition, and the match produced few clear-cut opportunities as a consequence. This pattern of tight, low-scoring affairs has become increasingly prevalent in recent seasons, with five of the last eight meetings producing under 2.5 goals and three ending in draws. For bettors consulting double chance markets, the historical data strongly supports covering the draw as an essential component of any wagering strategy.
When examining the head-to-head statistics from a betting perspective, several compelling trends emerge that should inform any correct score predictions. All Boys have historically enjoyed a slight advantage when playing at Islas Malvinas, though this edge has diminished in recent campaigns as Nueva Chicago have developed greater resilience on their travels. The average goals per game in these eight encounters stands at just 1.63, a remarkably low figure that underscores the defensive intensity both teams bring to this fixture. Both teams have scored in only three of the last eight meetings, while goalless draws have occurred on two occasions, including the reverse fixture earlier this season. The psychological dimension of this rivalry cannot be ignored; neither side is willing to risk defeat by committing excessive numbers forward, particularly in the opening phases when tactical discipline takes precedence over attacking ambition. This historical context provides invaluable insight for punters exploring sure win predictions, as it suggests that traditional 1X2 markets may offer limited value compared to alternative options such as under 2.5 goals or correct score 0-0.
Key Players Comparison
⚽ Alejo Tabares (All Boys)
The 25-year-old left-sided defender/forward hybrid leads All Boys' scoring charts with 2 goals this season. His versatility allows him to operate as an auxiliary attacker when the team pushes forward, though his primary contribution remains defensive solidity. Tabares will need to be at his clinical best if the Albo are to break their scoring drought.
⚽ Maximiliano Rogoski (Nueva Chicago)
Nueva Chicago's creative heartbeat and joint-top scorer with 5 goals and 3 assists. The 32-year-old attacking midfielder possesses the technical quality and vision to unlock compact defenses. His ability to find space between the lines will be crucial against All Boys' disciplined 4-4-2 block. Rogoski's set-piece delivery adds another dimension to his threat.
🛡️ Iván Zafarana (All Boys)
The 31-year-old central defender has been the cornerstone of All Boys' defensive resilience, marshaling a backline that has conceded just 23 goals in 24 matches. Zafarana's aerial dominance and positional intelligence make him ideally suited to neutralizing Sebastián Cocimano's physical presence in the attacking third.
🛡️ Dylan Gissi (Nueva Chicago)
The towering 35-year-old Swiss center-back brings invaluable experience and physicality to Nueva Chicago's defense. Standing at 6'4", Gissi is a formidable presence in both penalty areas and will be tasked with dominating aerial duels against All Boys' limited attacking threat. His partnership with Ferracuti has been the foundation of Lanaro's defensive strategy.
The individual matchups across the pitch will likely determine whether this fixture produces the goalless outcome that history and form suggest. In the attacking third, the contrast between All Boys' collective struggle for goals and Nueva Chicago's reliance on individual brilliance from Rogoski and Cocimano is stark. Tabares and Medina have managed just four goals between them, a tally that Rogoski has matched single-handedly. This disparity in attacking output places enormous pressure on All Boys' defensive unit to maintain their concentration for the full ninety minutes, as even a single moment of quality from the visitors could prove decisive. However, Nueva Chicago's own struggles in front of goal when facing organized defenses, evidenced by their failure to score in the reverse fixture, suggest that breaking the deadlock will require something special. For those analyzing banker bets, the under 2.5 goals market presents itself as the most statistically robust option based on these player comparisons and historical trends.
The Managers
Fabián Nardozza (All Boys)
Fabián Nardozza arrived at All Boys in August 2026 with the unenviable task of stabilizing a side that had lost its way under previous management. His appointment followed the departure of Aníbal Biggeri, who had managed the club for three seasons but was unable to translate defensive organization into consistent results. Nardozza's managerial career has been built on principles of tactical discipline and structured defensive play, qualities that align perfectly with the traditional identity of All Boys. In his brief tenure to date, he has maintained the team's impressive defensive record while attempting to introduce greater attacking fluidity through the wide areas. However, the challenge of transforming a team so accustomed to draws into one capable of securing victories remains his primary objective. Nardozza's approach to this fixture will likely be cautious, prioritizing a clean sheet above all else and trusting that his forwards can capitalize on any defensive errors from the visitors. His experience in the Primera Nacional should serve him well in managing the emotional intensity of this derby.
The Argentine coach faces a significant challenge in motivating a squad that has grown accustomed to sharing points. Nardozza's tactical philosophy emphasizes collective responsibility over individual brilliance, which explains his preference for experienced campaigners like Coronel, Passaglia, and Zafarana in key positions. His ability to instill confidence in a misfiring attack will be tested against Nueva Chicago's well-organized defense, and his in-game management decisions, particularly regarding substitutions in the final third, could prove decisive. For managers looking to understand common betting mistakes, studying how coaches like Nardozza approach must-win scenarios provides valuable insight into market movements and live betting opportunities.
Germán Lanaro (Nueva Chicago)
Germán Lanaro took the reins at Nueva Chicago with a clear mandate to restore the club's competitiveness in the Primera Nacional, and his early results suggest he is making steady progress. With a 38% win rate across his first eight matches and an average of 1.38 points per game, Lanaro has already surpassed the achievements of his predecessor Luis García, who managed just four wins from thirteen matches. The 45-year-old coach has implemented a pragmatic 4-2-3-1 system that maximizes the creative talents of Maximiliano Rogoski while providing defensive protection through the double pivot of Méndez and Vera. Lanaro's greatest strength lies in his ability to prepare his teams for specific opponents, adjusting his tactical approach based on the strengths and weaknesses of the opposition. Against All Boys, he will be acutely aware of the hosts' tendency to dominate possession without penetration, and his game plan will likely involve absorbing pressure before exploiting transitions through the pace of Ocampo and the intelligence of Rogoski.
Lanaro's management style is characterized by meticulous preparation and a willingness to make bold tactical decisions during matches. He has shown no hesitation in changing formations mid-game when circumstances demand, and his substitution patterns often reflect a proactive rather than reactive mindset. The coach has also been instrumental in integrating new signings such as Enzo Roldán and Facundo Castro into the squad, gradually building a team capable of competing for promotion places in the second half of the season. His experience as a defender during his playing career informs his emphasis on defensive organization, though he has demonstrated sufficient attacking ambition to secure results against teams that sit deep. Punters interested in understanding betting odds should monitor Lanaro's tactical announcements closely, as his approach often influences the flow and scoring patterns of Nueva Chicago's matches.
Betting Predictions & Tips
Odds: 1.55
This selection represents the most compelling value proposition for this fixture based on overwhelming statistical evidence. All Boys have seen 13 of their 24 matches finish under 2.5 goals this season, while Nueva Chicago have recorded 10 under 2.5 outcomes in their 22 fixtures. The reverse fixture ended 0-0, and the last three meetings between these sides have produced a combined total of just two goals. Both teams prioritize defensive organization, and neither possesses the attacking quality to suggest a high-scoring encounter. The European odds of 1.55 offer reasonable returns for what appears to be a highly probable outcome. For additional over-under analysis, this market remains the cornerstone of our betting strategy for this match.
Odds: 7.00
The correct score 0-0 market offers exceptional value at 7.00 given the confluence of factors pointing toward a goalless stalemate. All Boys have drawn 12 of their 24 matches this season, with three of their last five fixtures ending level. They have failed to score in 9 matches, while Nueva Chicago have been shut out on 6 occasions. The tactical matchup favors caution over ambition, and the derby atmosphere typically produces tense, low-scoring affairs. Our draw prediction specialists have identified this fixture as one of the strongest candidates for a stalemate in the entire Primera Nacional matchday. The 7.00 odds represent outstanding value for a result that has occurred in 12.5% of All Boys' matches this term.
Odds: 1.70
The BTTS No market aligns perfectly with the tactical and statistical profile of this encounter. All Boys have kept 8 clean sheets but have also failed to score in 9 matches, creating a scenario where one team drawing a blank is highly probable. Nueva Chicago's away record shows similar tendencies, with the Torito keeping defensive discipline but struggling to find the net on their travels. The reverse fixture produced a 0-0 scoreline, and neither side has demonstrated the attacking cohesion required to break down organized defenses consistently. At 1.70, this market offers a solid addition to any BTTS betting portfolio, particularly when combined with the under 2.5 goals selection for enhanced accumulator value.
Odds: 1.35
For punters seeking lower-risk options, the double chance market covering All Boys or the draw provides a secure foundation for singles or accumulators. The Albo's home form, while not spectacular, has been characterized by defensive resilience, with 6 of their 9 home matches ending in draws. Nueva Chicago's away record is similarly inconsistent, and their struggles to break down compact defenses make an outright victory unlikely. While the 1.35 odds offer modest returns, the probability of this outcome occurring is significantly higher than the odds suggest. This selection can serve as a reliable anchor in win accumulator bets, providing a solid base upon which to build higher-value combinations.
Odds: 2.05
The half-time draw market presents an intriguing speculative option at 2.05, reflecting the likelihood that both teams will adopt cautious approaches during the opening forty-five minutes. Derby matches typically feature cagey beginnings as managers prioritize avoiding early mistakes over attacking ambition. All Boys have been level at the interval in 12 of their 24 matches, while Nueva Chicago have reached half-time with the scores level on 10 occasions. The tactical battle between Nardozza's defensive organization and Lanaro's transitional approach suggests a first period dominated by midfield stalemate rather than goal-mouth action. For those exploring HT/FT betting strategies, this market offers an attractive risk-reward ratio for a patient, disciplined wager.
📊 Final Score Prediction
Match Analysis
Our prediction of a 0-0 draw is grounded in comprehensive analysis of tactical matchups, historical head-to-head data, current form, and underlying statistical trends that overwhelmingly point toward a goalless stalemate. All Boys have established themselves as the draw specialists of Primera Nacional Zona A, with 50% of their fixtures ending level, and their chronic struggles in front of goal show no signs of abating under new management. The Albo have scored just 14 goals in 24 matches and have failed to find the net in 9 of their league fixtures, a pattern that aligns perfectly with Nueva Chicago's disciplined defensive approach. The visitors, while possessing greater attacking quality through the likes of Rogoski and Cocimano, have demonstrated a tendency to struggle against well-organized defensive units, as evidenced by their own goalless draw against All Boys earlier this season and their failure to score in 6 league matches.
The tactical dimension reinforces this prediction significantly. Nardozza's 4-4-2 system is designed to minimize risk and frustrate opponents, while Lanaro's 4-2-3-1 relies on transitional moments that may be scarce against a team content to defend deep and invite pressure. The derby atmosphere adds another layer of caution, as neither manager will be willing to risk defeat by committing excessive numbers forward. The historical record between these sides supports this assessment emphatically; five of the last eight meetings have produced under 2.5 goals, and the reverse fixture this season ended 0-0. For bettors seeking correct score tips, the 0-0 outcome at 7.00 represents exceptional value in a market where the underlying probabilities far exceed the implied odds. This fixture has all the hallmarks of a tactical chess match where defensive discipline triumphs over attacking ambition, and the final whistle is likely to confirm another chapter in this rivalry's growing collection of low-scoring encounters.
Key Insights & Statistics
- All Boys have drawn 12 of their 24 league matches (50%), the highest draw percentage in Primera Nacional Zona A.
- The Albo have kept 8 clean sheets this season but have also failed to score in 9 fixtures, highlighting their defensive reliability and attacking impotence.
- Nueva Chicago's away form shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, with the Torito struggling to replicate their home intensity on the road.
- The reverse fixture on 30 March 2026 ended 0-0, with both teams managing just 3 shots on target combined.
- Five of the last eight head-to-head meetings have produced under 2.5 goals, with an average of just 1.63 goals per game.
- All Boys' top scorer Alejo Tabares has just 2 goals in 24 appearances, while Nueva Chicago's Maximiliano Rogoski leads his side with 5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in only 3 of the last 8 meetings between these sides, making BTTS No a statistically robust selection.
- All Boys have not won any of their last 5 matches, recording 3 draws and 2 defeats during this winless run.
- Nueva Chicago have won just 1 of their last 5 away matches, drawing 1 and losing 3 in a sequence that undermines their travel credentials.
- The 0-0 correct score has occurred in 12.5% of All Boys' matches this season, significantly above the league average of 8%.
- European bookmakers have priced the draw at 2.90, implying a 34.5% probability that aligns closely with historical data.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in 54% of All Boys' matches and 45% of Nueva Chicago's fixtures this campaign.
- For comprehensive bet of the day recommendations, this fixture's under 2.5 goals market stands out as the most reliable option.
Conclusion
The All Boys versus Nueva Chicago fixture represents a fascinating case study in the dynamics of lower-league Argentine football, where tactical caution, historical rivalry, and mutual respect converge to produce matches that defy conventional attacking expectations. As we approach this Round 25 encounter at Estadio Islas Malvinas, every available metric points toward another tightly contested affair where defensive organization takes precedence over goal-scoring ambition. All Boys, under the stewardship of Fabián Nardozza, have perfected the art of the draw, and their inability to convert territorial advantage into goals has become the defining characteristic of their 2026 campaign. With 12 draws from 24 matches and a paltry 14 goals scored, the Albo have established themselves as the team most likely to produce a stalemate in the entire Primera Nacional, a reputation that precedes them into every fixture they contest.
Nueva Chicago arrive with marginally greater attacking threat through the creative talents of Maximiliano Rogoski and the finishing ability of Sebastián Cocimano, yet their own inconsistencies, particularly on the road, suggest that breaking down All Boys' resolute defense will require a level of precision and patience that has eluded them in recent away fixtures. Germán Lanaro's pragmatic approach has brought stability to the Torito, but his team remains vulnerable when forced to break down deep-lying opponents who refuse to engage in open, transitional football. The historical head-to-head record provides compelling evidence that these encounters are defined by tension rather than spectacle, with the 0-0 result in the reverse fixture serving as the most recent example of this enduring pattern. For those seeking sure win predictions and best bets for today, the under 2.5 goals market at 1.55 and the correct score 0-0 at 7.00 represent the most compelling opportunities in a fixture where caution will almost certainly prevail over ambition.
As the Buenos Aires football community turns its attention to this latest installment of the Superclásico del Ascenso, the smart money resides firmly in markets that reward defensive discipline and tactical pragmatism. Both teams have demonstrated throughout the 2026/2027 season that they possess the organizational qualities to prevent goals, even if they lack the attacking cohesion to score them with regularity. The 0-0 prediction is not merely a speculative punt but a data-driven conclusion supported by form, fixtures, historical trends, and tactical analysis. Whether you are a casual observer or a dedicated punter exploring football betting strategies, this fixture offers a masterclass in how statistical analysis and tactical understanding can combine to identify value in markets that others might overlook. Expect ninety minutes of intense, disciplined football where the final scoreline reflects the defensive excellence of both sides far more than any attacking deficiency. The Islas Malvinas crowd will witness another chapter in this historic rivalry, and when the referee blows the final whistle, the most probable outcome is that the scoreboard will read exactly as it did when these teams last met: All Boys 0, Nueva Chicago 0.